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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mexico

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Sep 17, 2025
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE20418395

Description

We've nudged our 2026 GDP growth forecast for Mexico down by 0.1ppt to 1.5% growth as complete Q2 data brough mild upward revisions to 2025 GDP levels and ate away growth. Our forecast is marginally above the consensus of 1.4% and above our 0.6% estimate for 2025.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Mexico: Recovery will begin next year from the 2025 activity trough
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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