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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Malawi

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Oct 16, 2025
Length 6 Pages
SKU # OFE20535942

Description

Malawi's economic woes have continued unabated since the beginning of the year. A combination of external funding cuts, depleted FX reserves, unsustainable public debt, and elevated inflation has placed the economy under immense strain. We anticipate that the Malawian authorities will resort to a currency devaluation in Q2 2026 to address the economic malaise. As such, we project that the average exchange rate will rise from MK1,733.99/$ in 2025 to MK2,408.12/$ in 2026 as the currency depreciates.

Table of Contents

6 Pages
Malawi: Sustained headwinds cloud economic outlook
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments
Policy and politics

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