Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Croatia

We have lowered our GDP growth forecast Croatia to 2.1% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026. Despite minimal direct trade exposure to the US, the trade-reliant economy is vulnerable to weaker global demand as US President Donald Trump's trade war escalates. But Croatia should remain one of the fastest-growing Eurozone economies this year and next, thanks to loose fiscal policy, a thriving tourism sector, and significant EU investment.


Croatia: Regional outperformance to continue
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy and politics

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