Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Congo

Policy uncertainty stemming from the government's cobalt export ban and the temporary shutdown at the Kamoa-Kakula copper complex has tempered our growth expectations. The broader impact of the conflict in the country's east on investment sentiment and economic activity also detracts from the growth outlook. We have revised our real GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 4.7%, down from our previous prediction of 5.6%.


DRC: Resilience tested by conflict and resource nationalism
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments
Policy and politics

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