Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Colombia

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Colombia



We've kept our 2024 GDP growth forecast for Colombia unchanged at 1.9%. We forecast consumption will be the main driver of growth in H2. Our view is backed by a downward trend in unemployment and rising real wages as inflation recedes. We think GDP will pick up to 2.5% next year as investment is recovering gradually, and expect a positive contribution from net trade.


Colombia: Messy fiscal agenda puts the economic outlook at risk
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments
Economic policy and politics

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