Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Central African Republic
Description
Despite the ongoing fragile security situation in the Central African Republic (CAR), the economy has demonstrated a degree of resilience, supported by high gold prices and continued IMF backing. In this context, we project real GDP growth of 2.4% for 2025, up from our previous forecast of 1.4%. The momentum is expected to continue into 2026, with economic growth projected to rise to 2.8%. However, there are downside risks to our economic outlook, including a deterioration in the security situation and uncertainty surrounding the 2025 elections.
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