Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Cambodia
Description
We’ve lowered our 2026 GDP growth forecast for Cambodia to 4.3% y/y as the tourism shock from Thai border tensions and softer exports will weigh on activity. Domestic demand should ease, but planned fiscal expansion will cushion the slowdown. Investment growth may be soft given the ongoing real estate slowdown. The non-performing loan ratio is at a record high.
Table of Contents
6 Pages
- Cambodia: Bad debt and tourism stress will test growth
- Forecast overview
- Recent developments
- Short-term outlook
- Key drivers of our short-term forecast
- Economic risk
- Economic risk evaluation
- What to watch out for
- Background
- Economic development
- Structure of the economy
- Balance of payments and structure of trade
- Policy and politics
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