
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Burundi
Description
We forecast the economy to expand by 3.9% in 2025, driven by further expected gains in gold and coffee prices – both vital commodities to the domestic economy. Gold prices have already surged by 38.2% y/y in Q1, fuelled by heightened geopolitical tensions. Arabica coffee prices rose by 88.4% y/y over the same period due to adverse weather conditions in key producing regions. Key risks to our real GDP outlook include regional instability, flooding, and downturns in key commodity prices.
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