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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Argentina

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Aug 25, 2025
Length 9 Pages
SKU # OFE20418460

Description

We cut our GDP growth forecasts to 4.5% from 4.7% for 2025 but raised it to 2.4% from 2.2% for 2026. We expect a slowdown in private demand over the coming months, due to decelerating real wage growth and rising real interest rates, as the government tightens peso liquidity. Consumer sentiment has worsened since February, with individuals growing more pessimistic about the macroeconomic outlook and their personal financial situations.

Table of Contents

9 Pages
Argentina: Midterm elections already weighing on growth
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term growth outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risk scenarios
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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