Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Taiwan

We've downgraded Taiwan's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 2.8% y/y from 3.1% in light of the US administration's tariff announcements on April 2. The additional 32% tariff on Taiwan, and the tariffs on other major trading partners of the US (albeit subject to a 90-day suspension until early July), will not only affect Taiwan's direct exports to the US, but also disrupt Taiwanese manufacturers operating across Asia.


Taiwan: Tariff risk has materialised but more's to come
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Politics

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