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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Japan

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Oct 31, 2025
Length 9 Pages
SKU # OFE20535905

Description

We've kept our GDP growth forecast for Japan at 1.1% for 2025 and 0.5% for 2026, respectively. We continue to expect a dip in GDP in H2 2025 and a gradual recovery from H1 2026 as the negative shock from US tariffs starts to dissipate.

Table of Contents

9 Pages
Japan: BoJ is ready to hike again, but politics adds uncertainty
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Economic policy

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