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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Hong Kong SAR

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Jul 01, 2025
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE20204923

Description

We have revised our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Hong Kong up by 0.2 percentage points to 2.7%, aligning with the government’s 2–3% target range. The upgrade reflects a strong, export-led start to the year, as well as the recent rollback of US tariffs and the associated upward revision to our China growth outlook.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Hong Kong SAR: Economy set for gradual moderation after a strong H1
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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