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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published May 30, 2022
Length 10 Pages
SKU # OFE17209449

Description

Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific

We expect growth to remain robust this year amid a further easing of Covid containment restrictions and entry requirements for visitors, with services set to be an increasing driver of growth. But we have lowered our 2022 GDP growth forecast by 0.4ppt to 4.4% following downgrades to our China GDP forecast, as lockdowns are adding pressure to strained global supply chains, notably in Thailand's automotive sector. We then forecast GDP growth to improve to 6.1% in 2023 on the back of strong tourism and easing disruptions to supply chains.

Table of Contents

10 Pages
Thailand: Tourism to support growth amid fallout from China lockdowns
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our Short-term Forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to Key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and Structure of trade
policy
Politics
How Do Licenses Work?
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