
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Turkey
Description
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Turkey
Turkey's economic performance surprised to the upside in Q1, prompting an upward revision to our 2022 GDP growth forecast, which we now see expanding at a 3% pace, 0.9ppts higher than a month ago. However, the surge in inflation is swiftly eroding purchasing power and weighing on consumer demand, as seen in recent high-frequency data, including the PMI survey, and we think the economy will have contracted in Q2.
Turkey's economic performance surprised to the upside in Q1, prompting an upward revision to our 2022 GDP growth forecast, which we now see expanding at a 3% pace, 0.9ppts higher than a month ago. However, the surge in inflation is swiftly eroding purchasing power and weighing on consumer demand, as seen in recent high-frequency data, including the PMI survey, and we think the economy will have contracted in Q2.
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