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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sweden

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Oct 14, 2025
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE20535946

Description

We've increased our growth forecasts for Sweden for 2026 and 2027 to 2.3% and 2.2% respectively, as we've incorporated the budgeted fiscal stimulus for next year into our baseline. Incoming data show the long-awaited economic turnaround is underway, as positive real income gains, previous monetary policy loosening, and supportive fiscal policy are feeding through. The Riksbank cut for a final time in September – we see it staying on hold at 1.75% for the next year.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Sweden: Incoming data paint a positive near-term picture
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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