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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Slovenia

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Jun 20, 2025
Length 7 Pages
SKU # OFE20204890

Description

We lowered our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Slovenia by 1.2ppts to just 0.8% due to a large surprise contraction in Q1. We expect domestic demand to be the main growth driver, while net trade will be a drag. An escalation in trade tensions, a weaker labour market, and households saving rather than spending income gains present key risks. We expect growth of 2.5% in 2025.

Table of Contents

7 Pages
Slovenia: A surprise contraction in Q1 lowers 2025 growth
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments
Policy and politics

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