Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Portugal

We've raised our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Portugal by 0.2ppts to 1.8%. The new government announced some income tax cuts and an extra payment to pensioners with effect later this year, which we think will temporarily boost GDP growth. A stronger end to 2025 also lifted our forecast for 2026 by 0.2ppts to 2.3% due to an improved carry-over effect.


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