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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ireland

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Dec 11, 2025
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE20650278

Description

We've kept our GDP forecasts for Ireland broadly unchanged at 13.3% growth in 2025 and a 0.6% contraction in 2026, with growth resuming in 2027 at 1.9%. GDP has held up well in recent quarters, including in Q3, following strong surges around the turn of 2025. Our forecast anticipates only modest declines in the coming quarters, although this will still result in a negative carry-over effect into 2026, which largely explains next year's GDP contraction.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Ireland: Signs that momentum is surging again in Q4
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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