
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - India
Description
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - India
The Reserve Bank of India's hawkish shift in April and the surge in March CPI to 7% have pushed up our 2022-end policy rate forecast to 5%. We expect the economy to weather the slightly faster pace of monetary policy normalisation and maintain our 2022 and 2023 GDP growth forecasts at 7.3% and 5.8% respectively. However, we admit downside risks to growth have increased.
The Reserve Bank of India's hawkish shift in April and the surge in March CPI to 7% have pushed up our 2022-end policy rate forecast to 5%. We expect the economy to weather the slightly faster pace of monetary policy normalisation and maintain our 2022 and 2023 GDP growth forecasts at 7.3% and 5.8% respectively. However, we admit downside risks to growth have increased.
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