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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Germany

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Dec 09, 2025
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE20650286

Description

The German economy remains stagnant and we expect the year to end with yet another flat quarter. Growth should gradually pick up next year as fiscal support increases and we expect the economy to expand by 0.7%. However, recent data reinforce our cautious near-term outlook, as core orders continue to disappoint and October’s rise in industrial production wasn't broad-based, mainly offsetting August’s decline rather than signalling a strong start to Q4.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Germany: Another year to forget before fiscal policy lifts growth
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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