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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Dec 18, 2025
Length 9 Pages
SKU # OFE20686085

Description

We have revised up our 2025 GDP growth forecast for France by 0.1ppt to 0.8% after final Q3 GDP data came in slightly above the preliminary estimate, highlighting the resilience of the economy. We now expect growth of 0.8% next year, a 0.2ppt upgrade, reflecting our view that more of the recent export surge will persist beyond 2025 as supply constraints in the aeronautics sector ease.

Table of Contents

9 Pages
France: Recent economic strength may not last
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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