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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Oct 27, 2025
Length 9 Pages
SKU # OFE20535925

Description

We revised our forecast for France’s GDP growth up by 0.1ppt to 0.7% in 2025 and down by the same amount to 0.6% in 2026. The tweaks mostly reflect the scheduled delivery of large export orders in H2, followed by some payback early next year. Ongoing political instability is expected to have little additional impact on activity beyond what we already assumed.

Table of Contents

9 Pages
France: Near-term growth resilient despite political instability
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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