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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Sep 15, 2025
Length 9 Pages
SKU # OFE20418406

Description

We left our forecast for GDP growth in France unchanged at 0.6% in 2025 and 0.7% in 2026. The fall of Prime Minister François Bayrou's government hasn't had a major impact on our projections, as we already expected a return of political instability over the autumn.

Table of Contents

9 Pages
France: Government collapse to have limited impact on activity
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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