Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France

We've left our forecast for GDP growth in France in 2025 unchanged at 0.5%, as the 10% US tariffs on European exports broadly match what was already part of our baseline. We've revised GDP growth for next year down slightly, from 1.0% to 0.8%, since global growth will be weaker and higher uncertainty will weigh on investment.


France: Global economic uncertainty threatens growth
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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