Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France

We've left our forecast for 2025 GDP growth in France unchanged at 0.5% because we still see no signs of the economy gaining momentum. In 2026, we still expect GDP growth will increase marginally to 0.7% as domestic uncertainty will continue to discourage economic activity.


France: Hard to find a bright spot in the economy
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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