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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Finland

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Dec 16, 2025
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE20686035

Description

We've lowered our growth forecast for Finland in 2026 by 0.2ppts to 0.9% due to a weak finish to this year. After years relative underperformance, firming private demand should be the main growth driver, with fiscal consolidation the principal drag. Key downside risks relate to the strength of the labour market, the propensity of households to save, and policy uncertainty.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Finland: Weak finish to this year will weigh on 2026 growth
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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