Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Denmark
Description
We have lowered our 2026 GDP growth forecast for Denmark by 0.5ppts to 0.6%. A surge in pharmaceutical exports in Q3 2025 that boosted GDP growth will be largely reversed in Q4, which reflexively lowers our 2026 growth forecast. Still, we maintain our call that the non-pharma domestic economy will significantly outperform headline GDP growth next year.
Table of Contents
8 Pages
- Denmark: Non-pharma economy to outperform in 2026
- Forecast overview
- Recent developments
- Short-term outlook
- Key drivers of our short-term forecast
- Economic risk
- Economic risk evaluation
- Risk warnings
- What to watch out for
- Exposure to key global risks
- Long-term prospects
- Alternative long-run scenarios
- Background
- Economic development
- Structure of the economy
- Balance of payments and structure of trade
- Policy and politics
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