Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Costa Rica
Description
We've raised our 2026 GDP growth outlook for Costa Rica by 1ppt to 3.4%, after an estimated 4.2% expansion this year. We expect private consumption to drive growth, supported by higher purchasing power as wage gains coincide with low inflationary pressure. A recovery in the tourism sector after this year’s contraction – which largely explains the drop in employment – should bolster job creation, allowing consumption to accelerate to 3.7% from 3.4% this year.
Table of Contents
7 Pages
- Costa Rica: Robust domestic demand supports a forecast upgrade
- Forecast overview
- Recent developments
- Short-term outlook
- Key drivers of our short-term forecast
- Economic risk
- Economic risk evaluation
- Background
- Economic development
- Structure of the economy
- Policy and politics
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