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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - China

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published May 30, 2022
Length 10 Pages
SKU # OFE17206742

Description

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - China

We have cut our 2022 GDP growth forecast for China by 0.8ppt to 4%. We forecast a quarterly contraction in Q2 before a recovery in H2, bolstered by policy stimulus. But we believe risks to our outlook are tilted to the downside, as the effectiveness of policy stimulus will largely depend on the scale of future Covid outbreaks and restrictions.

Table of Contents

10 Pages
China: Policy stimulus to drive post-lockdown recovery
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

Pricing

Currency Rates
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