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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Bulgaria

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Dec 23, 2025
Length 7 Pages
SKU # OFE20686066

Description

We expect the Bulgarian economy to grow by 3.2% in 2026, just below 3.3% in 2025. We anticipate household spending growth will be underpinned by still-strong wage growth and low unemployment. Continued political uncertainty will counter the positive impact of the euro adoption on business confidence and investment. We expect the Next Generation EU funds will provide support, although slow progress on reforms jeopardises meeting the necessary milestones for funds release.

Table of Contents

7 Pages
Bulgaria: Political instability will welcome the euro
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Policy and politics

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