
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Belgium
Description
We forecast the Belgian economy will expand by 1.1% this year and 1.4% next. Not only will tariffs lower Belgium's direct exports to the US by making them more expensive, but they will also affect demand for Belgian-produced inputs for other countries' US-bound exports. Moreover, trade uncertainty will make businesses reluctant to invest. We expect inflation will average 1.8% in 2025 and 1.2% in 2026, with tariffs helping the disinflationary process due to the hit to demand and energy prices.
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