Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Australia
Description
Australia's economy has strengthened in recent months. Alongside a rise in consumer confidence, household spending momentum has continued in July and August after a strong Q2. At the same time, potential buyers are flocking back to the property market, pushing prices higher as interest rates come down. But weaker employment growth and still-struggling business investment highlight the tensions in the economy. These competing dynamics essentially net out, leaving our 2025 and 2026 growth forecasts largely unchanged from September. We forecast growth of 2.1% in 2026 following this year’s expected 1.7% expansion.
Table of Contents
10 Pages
- Australia: Economy to take a breather after recent surge
- Forecast overview
- Recent developments
- Short-term growth outlook
- Key drivers of our short-term forecast
- Economic risk
- Economic Risk Evaluation
- Risk warnings
- What to watch out for
- Exposure to key global risks
- Long-term prospects
- Alternative long-run scenarios
- Background
- Economic development
- Structure of the economy
- Politics
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