Country Economic Forecasts - Morocco
Description
Country Economic Forecasts - Morocco
The economy successfully emerged from the crisis in 2021, with output levels recovering to pre-pandemic levels − largely supported by a bumper cereal harvest. While the non-agricultural sector also expanded, the sector came in just below its pre-pandemic level. Global supply chain blockages placed increasing pressure on the sector in Q4, and we suspect the effects thereof continued to hamper economic activity in Q1 2022. The recent removal of a flight ban should bode well for tourism; but the unpredictable implementation of travel bans could threaten a solid recovery. Nevertheless, the outlook is more upbeat than it was last quarter, and the economy should be well on its way to surpassing its pre-pandemic output level by the end of this year.
The economy successfully emerged from the crisis in 2021, with output levels recovering to pre-pandemic levels − largely supported by a bumper cereal harvest. While the non-agricultural sector also expanded, the sector came in just below its pre-pandemic level. Global supply chain blockages placed increasing pressure on the sector in Q4, and we suspect the effects thereof continued to hamper economic activity in Q1 2022. The recent removal of a flight ban should bode well for tourism; but the unpredictable implementation of travel bans could threaten a solid recovery. Nevertheless, the outlook is more upbeat than it was last quarter, and the economy should be well on its way to surpassing its pre-pandemic output level by the end of this year.
Table of Contents
8 Pages
- Morocco: The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic Forecast.
- The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues
- four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country
- with 2 years of historical data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview
- two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables
- covering a full range of economic developments relevant to the time period covered.
- These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development
- changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output
- latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators
- changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years
- latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports
- latest year
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