
Strategic Intelligence: Carbon Offsets
Description
Strategic Intelligence: Carbon Offsets
Summary
Carbon offsets are tradable certificates representing one tonne of carbon dioxide (CO₂) either avoided or removed from the atmosphere. Companies use them to compensate for emissions and support claims of being carbon-neutral or achieving net zero. Offsets can be generated from various projects, from forest protection to carbon removal technologies.
Estimates of the size of the carbon offsets market in 2024 range from $1 billion to $2 billion, with forecasts projecting growth to as much as $250 billion by 2050. However, demand has stalled since 2021 following a series of scandals. Many projects were found to be overstating their impact. For example, Apple faces a lawsuit over its “carbon-neutral” Apple Watch, which critics say relied on questionable projects. To mitigate these risks, buyers are adopting tighter quality controls such as carbon ratings, avoiding certain project types, and prioritizing removal over avoidance offsets. These practices are reshaping market pricing. Project developers must invest in transparency and monitoring technology to build buyer trust.
Scope
Summary
Carbon offsets are tradable certificates representing one tonne of carbon dioxide (CO₂) either avoided or removed from the atmosphere. Companies use them to compensate for emissions and support claims of being carbon-neutral or achieving net zero. Offsets can be generated from various projects, from forest protection to carbon removal technologies.
Estimates of the size of the carbon offsets market in 2024 range from $1 billion to $2 billion, with forecasts projecting growth to as much as $250 billion by 2050. However, demand has stalled since 2021 following a series of scandals. Many projects were found to be overstating their impact. For example, Apple faces a lawsuit over its “carbon-neutral” Apple Watch, which critics say relied on questionable projects. To mitigate these risks, buyers are adopting tighter quality controls such as carbon ratings, avoiding certain project types, and prioritizing removal over avoidance offsets. These practices are reshaping market pricing. Project developers must invest in transparency and monitoring technology to build buyer trust.
Scope
- This report provides an overview of carbon offsets, a major topic within the ESG theme.
- It includes a comprehensive introduction to carbon offsets and how they are used to offset carbon emissions.
- It includes a guide to corporate offset strategies and advice on how companies should approach carbon offsets, along with GlobalData’s carbon offsets value chain. This has four segments: project developers, carbon validators, intermediaries, and end-users.
- Also included is an overview of the carbon offsetting strategies of large companies across six sectors: consumer, energy, financials, healthcare, industrials, and tech, media, and telecom.
- The carbon offset market experienced rapid growth in the five years following the 2015 Paris Agreement, which spurred both countries and companies to take climate action. Between 2015 and 2020, the number of offsets issued climbed by 236% from 67 million in 2015 to 223 million in 2020, while the number retired by companies rose by 303% from 41 million in 2015 to 166 million in 2020. The market then began to plateau. Credit retirements have hovered between 165 million and 190 million from 2020 to 2024. Doubts over offset quality have contributed to the market’s stagnation, but have also not led to any significant decline.
- This report will help you understand more about carbon offsets and provide guidance on how to incorporate them into your net-zero strategy.
Table of Contents
75 Pages
- Executive Summary
- Players
- Thematic Briefing
- What are carbon offsets?
- Judging the quality of a carbon offset
- Offset quality is becoming more important to buyers
- How companies can manage their offsetting risk
- How companies can generate revenue through offset sales
- Trends
- Technology trends
- Industry trends
- Regulatory trends
- Industry Analysis
- Who is buying carbon offsets and why?
- Interest in removals is growing
- Case studies
- Tencent combines a standard net-zero target with carbon neutrality ambitions
- Apple’s “carbon-neutral” branding backfires
- Google pivots from avoidance to removal offsets
- Drax backs BECCS for offset revenue generation
- NTT boosts offset credibility with monitoring technology
- Amazon aims to restore offset confidence with its own buying service
- Timeline
- Signals
- Venture financing trends
- M&A trends
- Company filing trends
- Value Chain
- Project developers
- Carbon avoidance project developers
- Carbon removal project developers
- Carbon validators
- Standard setters
- Rating agencies
- Registries
- Auditors
- Intermediaries
- End-users
- Companies
- Public companies
- Private companies
- Carbon Offset Strategies
- Carbon offset strategies in the consumer sector
- Carbon offset strategies in the energy sector
- Carbon offset strategies in the financials sector
- Carbon offset strategies in the healthcare sector
- Carbon offset strategies in the industrials sector
- Carbon offset strategies in the tech, media, and telecom sector
- Glossary
- Further Reading
- GlobalData reports
- Our Thematic Research Methodology
- About GlobalData
- Contact Us
- List of Tables
- Table 1 Technology trends
- Table 2 Industry trends
- Table 3 Regulatory trends
- Table 4 Venture financing trends
- Table 5 M&A trends
- Table 6 Public companies
- Table 7 Private companies
- Table 8 Carbon offset strategies in the consumer sector
- Table 9 Carbon offset strategies in the energy sector
- Table 10 Carbon offset strategies in the financials sector
- Table 11 Carbon offset strategies in the healthcare sector
- Table 12 Carbon offset strategies in the industrials sector
- Table 13 Carbon offset strategies in the tech, media, and telecom sector
- Table 14 Glossary
- Table 15 GlobalData reports
- List of Figures
- Figure 1: A select list of leaders and challengers in the carbon offsets theme, and where they sit in the value chain
- Figure 2: How companies use carbon offsets
- Figure 3: The lifecycle of a carbon offset
- Figure 4: Judging the quality of a carbon offset
- Figure 5: How avoidance offsets are calculated
- Figure 6: Carbon credit issuance peaked in 2021
- Figure 7: Offset futures prices have collapsed
- Figure 8: Renewables and forest and land use projects are the most popular
- Figure 9: Energy and technology are the biggest buyers
- Figure 10: Carbon offsets are favored by the tech, media, and telecom (TMT) and financials sectors
- Figure 11: Which companies are buying offsets?
- Figure 12: Carbon avoidance offsets account for the vast majority of issuances and retirements
- Figure 13: Carbon removals remain heavily dominated by a small number of players
- Figure 14: Tencent’s carbon neutrality plan for 2030
- Figure 15: Apple’s “carbon-neutral” Apple Watch Series 9
- Figure 16: Wood pellet storage silos at a Drax power station
- Figure 17: The carbon offset story
- Figure 18: Interest in direct air capture (DAC) was on the rise up to 2024 but may be starting to wane
- Figure 19: Which companies are discussing DAC?
- Figure 20: Biochar mentions have been climbing but 2025 will be a quieter year
- Figure 21: Which companies are discussing biochar?
- Figure 22: The carbon offsets value chain
- Figure 23: The carbon offsets value chain – project developers - Renewable energy
- Figure 24: The carbon offsets value chain – project developers - Household and community
- Figure 25: The carbon offsets value chain – project developers - Industrial and commercial
- Figure 26: The carbon offsets value chain – project developers - Forestry and land use
- Figure 27: The carbon offsets value chain – project developers - Agricultural
- Figure 28: The carbon offsets value chain – project developers - Carbon capture and storage
- Figure 29: The carbon offsets value chain – project developers - Waste management
- Figure 30: The carbon offsets value chain – project developers - Transportation
- Figure 31: The carbon offsets value chain – project developers - Chemical processes
- Figure 32: The carbon offsets value chain – project developers - Nature-based removal
- Figure 33: The carbon offsets value chain – project developers - Tech-based removal
- Figure 34: The carbon offsets value chain – carbon validators - Standard setters
- Figure 35: The carbon offsets value chain – carbon validators - Rating agencies
- Figure 36: The carbon offsets value chain – carbon validators - Registries
- Figure 37: The carbon offsets value chain – carbon validators - Auditors
- Figure 38: The carbon offsets value chain
- Figure 39: The carbon offsets value chain - End-users
- Figure 40: Our five-step approach for generating a sector scorecard
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