Electric Commercial Vehicles

Global Electric Commercial Vehicles Market to Reach 1.6 Million Units by 2030

The global market for Electric Commercial Vehicles estimated at 626.8 Thousand Units in the year 2024, is expected to reach 1.6 Million Units by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 16.9% over the analysis period 2024-2030. BEV, one of the segments analyzed in the report, is expected to record a 17.8% CAGR and reach 1.3 Million Units by the end of the analysis period. Growth in the Other Propulsion Types segment is estimated at 13.4% CAGR over the analysis period.

The U.S. Market is Estimated at 66.8 Thousand Units While China is Forecast to Grow at 15.7% CAGR

The Electric Commercial Vehicles market in the U.S. is estimated at 66.8 Thousand Units in the year 2024. China, the world`s second largest economy, is forecast to reach a projected market size of 856.9 Thousand Units by the year 2030 trailing a CAGR of 15.7% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Among the other noteworthy geographic markets are Japan and Canada, each forecast to grow at a CAGR of 13.1% and 14.2% respectively over the analysis period. Within Europe, Germany is forecast to grow at approximately 17.3% CAGR.

Global Electric Commercial Vehicles Market - Key Trends & Drivers Summarized

Electric commercial vehicles (ECVs) are revolutionizing the transportation and logistics industry by offering a sustainable alternative to traditional diesel-powered vehicles. ECVs include electric trucks, buses, vans, and other commercial vehicles that use electric motors and rechargeable batteries for propulsion. These vehicles produce zero tailpipe emissions, significantly reducing air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. ECVs are increasingly being adopted in urban areas for goods delivery, public transportation, and utility services due to their environmental benefits and lower operational costs. Advances in battery technology and charging infrastructure are key factors driving the adoption of electric commercial vehicles.

The transition to electric commercial vehicles is being supported by government policies and incentives aimed at reducing carbon emissions and promoting clean energy transportation. Many countries are implementing stricter emission regulations and providing subsidies, tax breaks, and grants to encourage the purchase and use of ECVs. Major automotive manufacturers and startups are investing heavily in the development of electric commercial vehicle models with improved range, payload capacity, and charging efficiency. The integration of telematics and fleet management systems with ECVs is enhancing operational efficiency and enabling better route planning and vehicle maintenance.

The growth in the electric commercial vehicles market is driven by several factors. Firstly, the increasing government regulations and incentives aimed at reducing carbon emissions are a significant driver. Secondly, advancements in battery technology are improving the range, charging speed, and overall performance of electric commercial vehicles. Thirdly, the rising awareness of environmental issues and the need for sustainable transportation solutions are boosting the demand for ECVs. Additionally, the lower operational and maintenance costs of electric vehicles compared to diesel-powered ones are attracting fleet operators. Furthermore, the expansion of charging infrastructure and the development of fast-charging technologies are making electric commercial vehicles more viable for long-distance and heavy-duty applications. Lastly, significant investments by automotive manufacturers and the entry of new players into the ECV market are driving innovation and competition, further propelling market growth.

SCOPE OF STUDY:

The report analyzes the Electric Commercial Vehicles market in terms of units by the following Segments, and Geographic Regions/Countries:

Segments:
Propulsion Type (BEV, Other Propulsion Types); Battery Type (NMC, LFP, Other Battery Types); End-Use (Last Mile Delivery, Distribution Services, Field Services, Refuse Services, Long Haul Transportation)

Geographic Regions/Countries:
World; USA; Canada; Japan; China; Europe; France; Germany; Italy; UK; Rest of Europe; Asia-Pacific; Rest of World.

Select Competitors (Total 74 Featured) -

• Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (BMW GROUP)
• BYD Co., Ltd.
• AB Volvo
• Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Co., Ltd.
• Blue Bird Corporation
• Anhui Ankai Automobile Co., Ltd.
• Beijing Automotive Group Co., Ltd.
• Clean Fuel Energy Enterprise Co., Ltd.
• CAF, Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A.
• Dongfeng Motor Corporation
• AVEVAI
• Atlis Motor Vehicles
• CROYANCE AUTO
• Bollinger Motors
• Arrival Ltd.

TARIFF IMPACT FACTOR

Our new release incorporates impact of tariffs on geographical markets as we predict a shift in competitiveness of companies based on HQ country, manufacturing base, exports and imports (finished goods and OEM). This intricate and multifaceted market reality will impact competitors by artificially increasing the COGS, reducing profitability, reconfiguring supply chains, amongst other micro and macro market dynamics.

We are diligently following expert opinions of leading Chief Economists (14,949), Think Tanks (62), Trade & Industry bodies (171) worldwide, as they assess impact and address new market realities for their ecosystems. Experts and economists from every major country are tracked for their opinions on tariffs and how they will impact their countries.

We expect this chaos to play out over the next 2-3 months and a new world order is established with more clarity. We are tracking these developments on a real time basis.

As we release this report, U.S. Trade Representatives are pushing their counterparts in 183 countries for an early closure to bilateral tariff negotiations. Most of the major trading partners also have initiated trade agreements with other key trading nations, outside of those in the works with the United States. We are tracking such secondary fallouts as supply chains shift.

To our valued clients, we say, we have your back. We will present a simplified market reassessment by incorporating these changes!

APRIL 2025: NEGOTIATION PHASE

Our April release addresses the impact of tariffs on the overall global market and presents market adjustments by geography. Our trajectories are based on historic data and evolving market impacting factors.

JULY 2025 FINAL TARIFF RESET

Complimentary Update: Our clients will also receive a complimentary update in July after a final reset is announced between nations. The final updated version incorporates clearly defined Tariff Impact Analyses.

Reciprocal and Bilateral Trade & Tariff Impact Analyses:

USA
CHINA
MEXICO
CANADA
EU
JAPAN
INDIA
176 OTHER COUNTRIES.

Leading Economists - Our knowledge base tracks 14,949 economists including a select group of most influential Chief Economists of nations, think tanks, trade and industry bodies, big enterprises, and domain experts who are sharing views on the fallout of this unprecedented paradigm shift in the global econometric landscape. Most of our 16,491+ reports have incorporated this two-stage release schedule based on milestones.

Please note: Reports are sold as single-site single-user licenses. Electronic versions require 24-48 hours as each copy is customized to the client with digital controls and custom watermarks. The Publisher uses digital controls protecting against copying and printing is restricted to one full copy to be used at the same location.

The latest version of Adobe Acrobat Reader is required to view the report. Upon ordering an electronic version, the Publisher will provide a link to download the purchased report.

Prior to fulfillment of an order, the client will be required to sign a document detailing the purchase terms for a publication from this publisher.