Indonesia Cement Industry Report - 2015

Indonesia Cement Industry Report - 2015

This report profiles Indonesia’s cement industry, discussing market trends through 2014 and outlook for 2015 and beyond. The report also highlights leading players in the sector including PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk and PT Holcim Indonesia Tbk.

The cement industry is one of the strategic industries of Indonesia. The industry is a feeder for several other core sectors like infrastructure, housing and construction, and hence it acts as one of the most important sectors of the economy. The industry went through a period of high growth during the last five years making Indonesia one of the the top 10 cement producing countries in the world.

Indonesian cement industry had a stable year in 2014 with both demand and production recording growth. Recent capacity expansion by major companies helped in raising the overall production, leading to a situation of excess supply in the domestic market.

However, 2015 might prove to be a tough year for the cement industry. During the first six months, both consumption and production saw year-on-year declines. Persistent high interest rates might pull down the economic growth, thus bringing down the consumption even further. Nevertheless, the industry is expected to revive from this temporary lull soon backed by the ever-growing housing demand.

Key Points:

The cement industry went through a period of high growth during the last five years (2008-13), with domestic consumption growing at a CAGR of 12%. In FY14, it grew by 4%.

The Indonesian construction and real estate sectors are booming, which in turn has increased the demand for cement. During 2008-13, the country’s total designed capacity grew at a CAGR of 9%.

As a result of growing domestic demand, the export market saw successive declines in the last few years. Total cement exports from Indonesia reduced from around 8MT in 2007 to less than 0.5MT in 2014.

Large scale capacity addition during the last few years has accelerated domestic cement production. During 2010-13, domestic production grew at a CAGR of 13.8%. In FY14, it grew by 6.5% y/y.

1. Industry Profile
1.1 Sector overview
1.2 Sector size
1.3 Competitive landscape
1.4 Environmental scanning
2. Market Trends and Outlook
2.1 Key economic indicators-Indonesia
2.2 Cement production
2.3 Cement consumption
2.4 Market dynamics
2.5 Capacity and expansion plans
2.6 Cement trade
2.7 Housing sector trends
2.8 Market outlook
3. Leading Players and Comparative Matrix
3.1 Leading players
3.1.1 PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (Semen Indonesia)
3.1.2 PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk (Indocement)
3.1.3 PT Holcim Indonesia Tbk (Holcim Indonesia)
3.2 Comparative matrix
3.3 SWOT analysis

4. Tables and Charts
Table 1: Per capita cement consumption trends
Table 2: Major cement producers in Indonesia
Table 3: Key financial ratios of leading players

Chart 1: Per capita cement consumption in Indonesia
Chart 2: Breakup of world cement production by countries
Chart 3: Size of Indonesian cement market in terms of sales turnover
Chart 4: Share of domestic cement players by sales
Chart 5: Position of People's Representative Council after 2014 Elections
Chart 6: Per capita GDP of Indonesia
Chart 7: Quarterly GDP growth rate-Indonesia
Chart 8: Trade balance of Indonesia
Chart 9: Average monthly USD to IDR exchange rate
Chart 10: Government budget deficit
Chart 11: CPI Inflation -Indonesia
Chart 12: BI rate in Indonesia
Chart 13: Annual cement production in Indonesia
Chart 14: Share of domestic cement players in cement production
Chart 15: Annual cement consumption in Indonesia
Chart 16: Breakup of cement consumption in Indonesia by region
Chart 17: Difference between annual consumption and production in Indonesia
Chart 18: Average price of a 50kg cement bag in Indonesia
Chart 19: Total designed capacity in Indonesia
Chart 20: Existing capacity and planned expansion of major players
Chart 21: Total cement exports from Indonesia
Chart 22: Residential price index in Indonesia
Chart 23: Y/Y change in production and consumption of cement
Chart 24: Annual cement production of Semen Indonesia
Chart 25: Total sales of Semen Indonesia
Chart 26: Profit margins of Semen Indonesia
Chart 27: Annual cement production of Indocement
Chart 28: Total sales of Indocement
Chart 29: Profit margins of Indocement
Chart 30: Annual cement production of Holcim Indonesia
Chart 31: Total sales of Holcim Indonesia
Chart 32: Profit margins of Holcim Indonesia

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