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The Developed Asia–Pacific telecoms market: interim forecast report 2016–2021

The Developed Asia–Pacific telecoms market: interim forecast report 2016–2021

The telecoms market in developed Asia–Pacific provides operators with growth opportunities for revenue in the mobile handset data, IoT, fixed broadband and IPTV segments. This report shows the changes we have made to our forecasts for developed Asia–Pacific for the period 2016 to 2021, and explains recent market developments and operator investments in the region.


Executive summary and regional forecasts
Telecoms retail revenue for developed Asia–Pacific will grow steadily from USD172 billion in 2015 to USD178 billion in 2021
Smartphones and 4G/5G: Smartphones and 4G will have become mainstream by the end of the forecast period
Fixed services: FTTP/B connections will continue to increase during the forecast period, while DSL will decline
Key regional changes since our previous forecast: the take-up of 4G services and multi-play bundles has increased
Forecast revision: Traditional revenue streams will deplete more quickly than expected but fixed broadband and IPTV revenue will grow faster
Individual country forecasts
Australia: The change in termination rates has affected operator service revenue
Hong Kong: Operators are embedding multiple features in set–top boxes to attract consumers and encourage IPTV take-up
Japan: We have reduced our telecoms retail revenue forecast due to competitive data pricing and declining voice revenue
Singapore: Operators have dropped data prices and offer converged services to grow their postpaid base
South Korea: Operators are working on technology development and using newly acquired spectrum to monetise 4G
Taiwan: Unlimited data plans have increased data traffic but hampered profitability and overall revenue
About the authors and Analysys Mason
About the authors
Analysys Mason’s consulting and research are uniquely positioned
Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, developed Asia–Pacific, 2011–2021
Figure 2: Smartphones as a percentage of handsets and 4G/5G's share of total connections (excluding IoT), developed Asia–Pacific, 2015 and 2021
Figure 3: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, developed Asia–Pacific, 2011–2021
Figure 4: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast for developed Asia–Pacific
Figure 5: Telecoms retail revenue forecast by service type and total service revenue, previous and new forecasts, developed Asia–Pacific, 2016 and 2021
Figure 6: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, developed Asia–Pacific, 2015 and 2021
Figure 7: Connections by type, and growth rates, developed Asia–Pacific, 2015 and 2021
Figure 8: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Australia, 2011–2021
Figure 9: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, Australia
Figure 10: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Hong Kong, 2011–2021
Figure 11: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, Hong Kong
Figure 12: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Japan, 2011–2021
Figure 13: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, Japan
Figure 14: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Singapore, 2011–2021
Figure 15: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, Singapore
Figure 16: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, South Korea, 2011–2021
Figure 17: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, South Korea
Figure 18: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Taiwan, 2011–2021
Figure 19: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, Taiwan

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