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Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Forecasts to 2032 – Global Analysis By Moratorium Type (Full Ban, Partial Ban and Regulation-only approach), Weapon Type (Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS), Non-Lethal Autonomous Systems and Other Weapon Types), R

Publisher Stratistics Market Research Consulting
Published Sep 02, 2025
Length 200 Pages
SKU # SMR20346740

Description

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market is accounted for $241.1 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $389.6 million by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 7.1% during the forecast period. Autonomous weapon moratorium is a formal suspension or restriction on the development, deployment, or use of weapon systems capable of operating without direct human control. It is typically proposed to allow time for ethical, legal, and technological assessments of such systems, which may include lethal autonomous weapons. The moratorium aims to prevent unintended consequences, ensure compliance with international humanitarian law, and promote responsible innovation. It is often advocated by policymakers, researchers, and civil society organizations concerned with global security.

According to the research group Automated Decision Research, as cited in the article Global Perspectives on Regulation by Autonomous Weapons Systems (2025), 66% of countries 129 out of 195 support the creation of legally binding instruments to regulate autonomous weapons, while only 6% oppose such measures, underscoring growing international momentum toward a moratorium or ban on fully autonomous systems

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Increasing risk of proliferation and an arms race

As these systems become more accessible, the potential for widespread proliferation among state and non-state actors increases, raising fears of destabilization and unintended escalation. The absence of universally binding regulations further fuels competitive development, prompting nations to invest heavily in AI-driven combat platforms. This race for strategic superiority is pushing policymakers to consider moratoriums to prevent unchecked expansion. The urgency to address ethical and geopolitical risks is becoming a central driver for market interventions.

Restraint:

Arguments for ""more humane"" warfare

Human rights organizations and ethicists argue that such systems lack the capacity for empathy, judgment, and accountability, which are essential in conflict scenarios. These debates are influencing international discourse, leading to calls for stricter oversight and potential bans. The tension between technological advancement and humanitarian principles is slowing adoption and encouraging restraint in deployment strategies by minimizing battlefield exposure, critics challenge this notion by emphasizing the moral ambiguity of delegating lethal decisions to machines.

Opportunity:

Civilian-military technology collaboration

Universities, research institutions, and private tech firms are increasingly collaborating with defense agencies to create transparent, ethically governed autonomous systems. This cross-sector engagement is fostering innovation in areas like sensor fusion, decision-making algorithms, and non-lethal deterrence technologies. Such partnerships are also helping shape policy frameworks that balance national security with ethical safeguards. The moratorium market stands to benefit from these synergies, as collaborative models promote accountability and public trust.

Threat:

Non-compliance and ""go-it-alone"" strategies

Despite growing consensus on the need for regulation, some nations continue to pursue autonomous weapons independently, bypassing international norms. These unilateral approaches undermine collective efforts to establish moratoriums and raise the risk of regional instability. Additionally, the emergence of rogue actors and private military contractors deploying AI-enabled systems without oversight further complicates compliance. This fragmented landscape threatens the credibility and effectiveness of global moratorium initiatives.

Covid-19 Impact:

The pandemic disrupted defense supply chains and diverted government focus toward public health, temporarily slowing autonomous weapon development. However, it also accelerated digital transformation across sectors, including defense, where remote operations and unmanned systems gained traction. Budget reallocations delayed some moratorium discussions, but the crisis highlighted the importance of ethical governance in automated decision-making. The pandemic served as a catalyst for re-evaluating the role of AI in national security frameworks.

The non-lethal autonomous systems segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The non-lethal autonomous systems segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period due to their utility in peacekeeping and border security operations. These systems offer strategic advantages without escalating conflict, making them more acceptable under emerging regulatory frameworks. Their versatility in reconnaissance, threat detection, and area denial applications is driving widespread adoption. Governments are increasingly favoring non-lethal solutions to maintain operational readiness while adhering to ethical constraints.

The regional treaties & bans segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the regional treaties & bans segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate driven by heightened diplomatic efforts and multilateral agreements. Initiatives such as the European Parliament’s push for a ban on fully autonomous weapons and ASEAN’s regional dialogues are shaping policy landscapes. The segment’s growth is further supported by legal harmonization efforts and increased funding for verification mechanisms. As regional blocs take proactive stances, this segment is poised for accelerated expansion.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share owing to its advanced defense infrastructure, robust R&D capabilities, and active policy engagement. The U.S. Department of Defense’s investments in ethical AI and autonomous systems, coupled with strong advocacy from civil society groups, are shaping the region’s regulatory trajectory. Additionally, the region’s strategic emphasis on responsible autonomy is driving demand for moratorium-related technologies and frameworks.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR fueled by rising geopolitical tensions and rapid technological adoption. Countries such as China, India, South Korea, and Japan are investing heavily in autonomous defense capabilities while simultaneously engaging in regional dialogues on regulation. The dual push for innovation and governance is creating fertile ground for moratorium initiatives. Moreover, public awareness and civil society activism are influencing national policies, prompting governments to explore balanced approaches.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market include Anduril Industries, Palantir Technologies, Shield AI, Epirus, Helsing, Apptronik, AEye, Kodiak Robotics, General Dynamics, Northrop Grumman, Lockheed Martin, BAE Systems, Raytheon Technologies, Boeing Defense, Rafael Advanced Defense Systems, Elbit Systems, Thales Group, Leonardo S.p.A., Hanwha Aerospace, and AVIC (Aviation Industry Corporation of China).

Key Developments:

In August 2025, Palantir Technologies Fujitsu signed a licensing agreement for Palantir AIP in Japan, bundling AI capabilities into its Uvance business model and further cementing a strategic partnership for generative AI deployment across enterprise use cases.

In June 2025, Palantir Technologies Joined with Accenture Federal Services, aiming to modernize U.S. federal operations via AI, as well as launched a platform with The Nuclear Company to provisionly scale nuclear deployment systems.

In April 2025, Anduril publicly introduced Copperhead, a line of high-speed autonomous underwater vehicles (UUVs), including reusable kamikaze/munitions variants that can be mass-produced for large-scale deployment. It reflects a strategic move towards scalable undersea autonomy.

Moratorium Types Covered:
• Full Ban
• Partial Ban
• Regulation-only approach

Weapon Types Covered:
• Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS)
• Non-Lethal Autonomous Systems
• Other Weapon Types

Regulatory Frameworks Covered:
• International Moratorium Agreements
• Regional Treaties & Bans
• National-Level Regulations & Defense Policies
• NGO & Advocacy Group Campaigns
• Other Regulatory Frameworks

Platforms Covered:
• Land-Based Autonomous Weapons
• Airborne Autonomous Weapons
• Naval Autonomous Weapons
• Space-Based Autonomous Systems
• Other Platforms

Level of Autonomies Covered:
• Human-out-of-the-loop (HOOTL)
• Human-on-the-loop (HOTL)
• Human-in-the-loop (HITL)

Technologies Covered:
• Command and Control Systems
• Artificial Intelligence & Machine Learning
• Computer Vision & Target Recognition
• Navigation & Guidance Systems
• Communication & Networking Systems
• Sensors & Detection Technologies
• Other Technologies

End Users Covered:
• Defense & Military Organizations
• Intelligence Agencies
• International Organizations & Coalitions
• Private Defense Contractors
• Homeland Security & Law Enforcement
• Other End Users

Regions Covered:
• North America
US
Canada
Mexico
• Europe
Germany
UK
Italy
France
Spain
Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific
Japan
China
India
Australia
New Zealand
South Korea
Rest of Asia Pacific
• South America
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Rest of South America
• Middle East & Africa
Saudi Arabia
UAE
Qatar
South Africa
Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:
- Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
- Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
- Covers Market data for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, 2028, and 2032
- Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
- Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
- Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
- Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
- Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

• Company Profiling
Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
• Regional Segmentation
Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
• Competitive Benchmarking
Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

200 Pages
1 Executive Summary
2 Preface
2.1 Abstract
2.2 Stake Holders
2.3 Research Scope
2.4 Research Methodology
2.4.1 Data Mining
2.4.2 Data Analysis
2.4.3 Data Validation
2.4.4 Research Approach
2.5 Research Sources
2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
2.5.3 Assumptions
3 Market Trend Analysis
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Drivers
3.3 Restraints
3.4 Opportunities
3.5 Threats
3.6 Technology Analysis
3.7 End User Analysis
3.8 Emerging Markets
3.9 Impact of Covid-19
4 Porters Five Force Analysis
4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
4.3 Threat of substitutes
4.4 Threat of new entrants
4.5 Competitive rivalry
5 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market, By Moratorium Type
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Full Ban
5.3 Partial Ban
5.4 Regulation-only approach
6 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market, By Weapon Type
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS)
6.2.1 Fully Autonomous
6.2.2 Semi-Autonomous
6.3 Non-Lethal Autonomous Systems
6.3.1 Surveillance & Reconnaissance Systems
6.3.2 Defensive Systems
6.3.3 Logistics & Support Systems
6.4 Other Weapon Types
7 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market, By Regulatory Framework
7.1 Introduction
7.2 International Moratorium Agreements
7.2.1 United Nations (UN) Initiatives
7.2.2 Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW)
7.2.3 Geneva Conventions & Humanitarian Laws
7.3 Regional Treaties & Bans
7.4 National-Level Regulations & Defense Policies
7.5 NGO & Advocacy Group Campaigns
7.6 Other Regulatory Frameworks
8 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market, By Platform
8.1 Introduction
8.2 Land-Based Autonomous Weapons
8.2.1 Armored Vehicles
8.2.2 Robotic Ground Units
8.3 Airborne Autonomous Weapons
8.3.1 Drones & UAVs
8.3.2 Combat Aircraft Systems
8.4 Naval Autonomous Weapons
8.4.1 Surface Vessels
8.4.2 Underwater Systems (AUVs)
8.5 Space-Based Autonomous Systems
8.6 Other Platforms
9 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market, By Level of Autonomy
9.1 Introduction
9.2 Human-out-of-the-loop (HOOTL)
9.3 Human-on-the-loop (HOTL)
9.4 Human-in-the-loop (HITL)
10 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market, By Technology
10.1 Introduction
10.2 Command and Control Systems
10.3 Artificial Intelligence & Machine Learning
10.4 Computer Vision & Target Recognition
10.5 Navigation & Guidance Systems
10.6 Communication & Networking Systems
10.7 Sensors & Detection Technologies
10.8 Other Technologies
11 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market, By End User
11.1 Introduction
11.2 Defense & Military Organizations
11.3 Intelligence Agencies
11.4 International Organizations & Coalitions
11.5 Private Defense Contractors
11.6 Homeland Security & Law Enforcement
11.7 Other End Users
12 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market, By Geography
12.1 Introduction
12.2 North America
12.2.1 US
12.2.2 Canada
12.2.3 Mexico
12.3 Europe
12.3.1 Germany
12.3.2 UK
12.3.3 Italy
12.3.4 France
12.3.5 Spain
12.3.6 Rest of Europe
12.4 Asia Pacific
12.4.1 Japan
12.4.2 China
12.4.3 India
12.4.4 Australia
12.4.5 New Zealand
12.4.6 South Korea
12.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
12.5 South America
12.5.1 Argentina
12.5.2 Brazil
12.5.3 Chile
12.5.4 Rest of South America
12.6 Middle East & Africa
12.6.1 Saudi Arabia
12.6.2 UAE
12.6.3 Qatar
12.6.4 South Africa
12.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa
13 Key Developments
13.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
13.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
13.3 New Product Launch
13.4 Expansions
13.5 Other Key Strategies
14 Company Profiling
14.1 Anduril Industries
14.2 Palantir Technologies
14.3 Shield AI
14.4 Epirus
14.5 Helsing
14.6 Apptronik
14.7 AEye
14.8 Kodiak Robotics
14.9 General Dynamics
14.10 Northrop Grumman
14.11 Lockheed Martin
14.12 BAE Systems
14.13 Raytheon Technologies
14.14 Boeing Defense
14.15 Rafael Advanced Defense Systems
14.16 Elbit Systems
14.17 Thales Group
14.18 Leonardo S.p.A.
14.19 Hanwha Aerospace
14.20 AVIC (Aviation Industry Corporation of China)
List of Tables
Table 1 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Region (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 2 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Moratorium Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 3 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Full Ban (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 4 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Partial Ban (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 5 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Regulation-only approach (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 6 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Weapon Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 7 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS) (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 8 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Fully Autonomous (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 9 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Semi-Autonomous (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 10 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Non-Lethal Autonomous Systems (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 11 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Surveillance & Reconnaissance Systems (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 12 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Defensive Systems (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 13 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Logistics & Support Systems (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 14 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Other Weapon Types (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 15 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Regulatory Framework (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 16 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By International Moratorium Agreements (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 17 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By United Nations (UN) Initiatives (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 18 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW) (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 19 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Geneva Conventions & Humanitarian Laws (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 20 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Regional Treaties & Bans (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 21 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By National-Level Regulations & Defense Policies (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 22 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By NGO & Advocacy Group Campaigns (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 23 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Other Regulatory Frameworks (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 24 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Platform (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 25 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Land-Based Autonomous Weapons (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 26 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Armored Vehicles (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 27 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Robotic Ground Units (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 28 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Airborne Autonomous Weapons (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 29 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Drones & UAVs (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 30 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Combat Aircraft Systems (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 31 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Naval Autonomous Weapons (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 32 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Surface Vessels (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 33 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Underwater Systems (AUVs) (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 34 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Space-Based Autonomous Systems (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 35 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Other Platforms (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 36 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Level of Autonomy (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 37 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Human-out-of-the-loop (HOOTL) (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 38 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Human-on-the-loop (HOTL) (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 39 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Human-in-the-loop (HITL) (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 40 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Technology (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 41 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Command and Control Systems (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 42 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Artificial Intelligence & Machine Learning (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 43 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Computer Vision & Target Recognition (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 44 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Navigation & Guidance Systems (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 45 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Communication & Networking Systems (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 46 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Sensors & Detection Technologies (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 47 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Other Technologies (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 48 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By End User (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 49 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Defense & Military Organizations (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 50 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Intelligence Agencies (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 51 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By International Organizations & Coalitions (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 52 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Private Defense Contractors (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 53 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Homeland Security & Law Enforcement (2024-2032) ($MN)
Table 54 Global Autonomous Weapon Moratorium Market Outlook, By Other End Users (2024-2032) ($MN)
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.

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