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Analysis by Region - MENA

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Dec 23, 2025
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE20686067

Description

We have downgraded Iran's GDP growth forecast for FY2025 by 0.5 ppt to 0.2% as geopolitical and sanctions-related pressures intensify. Renewed UN and US sanctions following the collapse of cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) have heightened uncertainty, weighing on exports and investment at a time when prospects for a durable nuclear agreement have further deteriorated.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Iran: Nuclear deadlock points to prolonged economic headwinds
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Politics
Economic policy

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