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Analysis by Region - MENA

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Sep 12, 2025
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE20418416

Description

We've downgraded our GDP growth forecasts for Iran by 0.5ppts to 0.7% in fiscal year (FY) 2025. The heightened tensions with the West over the past few months are likely to continue to drag on exports and investment. Moreover, we expect worsening domestic headwinds to hit private consumption more than we envisaged three months ago.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Iran: War's aftermath brings no respite for the economy
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Politics
Economic policy

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