
Analysis by Region - MENA
Description
We've downgraded our GDP growth forecasts for Iran by 0.5ppts to 0.7% in fiscal year (FY) 2025. The heightened tensions with the West over the past few months are likely to continue to drag on exports and investment. Moreover, we expect worsening domestic headwinds to hit private consumption more than we envisaged three months ago.
Table of Contents
8 Pages
- Iran: War's aftermath brings no respite for the economy
- Forecast overview
- Recent developments
- Short-term outlook
- Key drivers of our short-term forecast
- Economic risk
- Economic risk evaluation
- Long-term prospects
- Alternative long-run scenarios
- Background
- Economic development
- Structure of the economy
- Politics
- Economic policy
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