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Analysis by Region - MENA

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Mar 18, 2025
Length 7 Pages
SKU # OFE19929286

Description

We've cut our GDP growth forecasts for Iran by 0.5ppts to 2.5% in fiscal year (FY) 2025 and by 0.7ppts to 1.6% in FY2026. The downgrade reflects the worsening outlook due to the return of US President Donald Trump's "maximum pressure" campaign, alongside stronger domestic challenges stemming from the ongoing energy crisis, renewed inflationary pressure, and plunging currency.

Table of Contents

7 Pages
Iran: US tough stance intensifies domestic economic crises
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Politics
Economic policy
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