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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - South Korea

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Jun 25, 2025
Length 9 Pages
SKU # OFE20204900

Description

We've upgraded our GDP growth forecast for 2025 by 0.1ppt to 0.8% y/y in light of the additional fiscal injection from a second supplementary budget. We're still cautious on growth given the weakness in exports and construction. However, domestic consumption should remain somewhat resilient given the stabilisation in real wages.

Table of Contents

9 Pages
South Korea: Trade data improve, but Q2 growth will still be soft
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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