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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ukraine

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Aug 29, 2025
Length 6 Pages
SKU # OFE20418437

Description

Amid increased pressure for a truce from Donald Trump's administration, Ukraine's authorities are preparing for another year of protracted war. Official forecasts have been revised downwards for 2025-2026, pointing to growth around 2% in 2025 and 2.3%-2.4% in 2026. We still see GDP growth at 2.1% in 2025 and 2.5% in 2026, with risks tilted to the downside.

Table of Contents

6 Pages
Ukraine: No ceasefire in sight despite multiple peace talks
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy and politics

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