Small Arms Market Opportunity, Growth Drivers, Industry Trend Analysis, and Forecast 2025 - 2034
Description
The Global Small Arms Market was valued at USD 9.4 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 4.9% to reach USD 15.1 billion by 2034.
Growth in this sector is being driven by rising investments in defense and military modernization programs, growing geopolitical tensions, continuous advancements in small arms technology, and an increasing demand from civilians for personal protection and recreational use. Expanding defense budgets enable armed forces to replace outdated weapon systems with lighter, more modular, and precise alternatives. Modernization programs are expected to peak in the 2020s, particularly among NATO and Asia-Pacific nations, which aim to enhance the versatility and lethality of their armed forces. Technological innovation, especially in optics, sensors, and fire-control mechanisms, is transitioning small arms toward connected and intelligent weapon systems. Ongoing investments in next-generation soldier programs are promoting the adoption of smart optics and AI-powered targeting technologies. Civilian firearm ownership is also contributing significantly to overall market expansion, reflecting a parallel increase in personal and sporting firearm demand worldwide.
The rifled barrel segment generated USD 6.7 billion in 2024. Rifled barrels remain preferred due to their superior precision, extended range, and accuracy, making them suitable for military, law enforcement, and select civilian applications. The introduction of modular rifles and carbines has further sustained demand in this category. Manufacturers are advised to emphasize the development of lightweight, corrosion-resistant rifled barrels integrated with modern optics and accessories. Close collaboration with defense and security agencies will help address evolving operational requirements and foster long-term contracts.
The pistols and revolvers segment held a 39.7% share in 2024. The continued growth of this category is attributed to the convenience, portability, and versatility of these firearms for both professional and civilian users. Manufacturers are encouraged to focus on enhancing modular designs, safety mechanisms, and customization features tailored to varied end-user applications. This approach is expected to maintain consistent dominance in the segment given the sustained consumer preference for adaptable, easy-to-use firearms.
U.S. Small Arms Market reached USD 3.7 billion in 2024, driven by increased defense allocations, modernization of infantry weapons, and a surge in tactical and defense-related firearm procurement. The country’s strong defense ecosystem and ongoing focus on upgrading infantry-level equipment are expected to continue supporting demand. Industry participants are prioritizing the production of durable, high-precision firearms that meet evolving operational needs. Establishing strategic collaborations with defense departments and military units is crucial for developing advanced, mission-ready systems designed for a range of tactical environments.
Prominent players shaping the Global Small Arms Market include Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc., Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc., FN Herstal (FN Browning Group), GLOCK Ges.m.b.H., SIG SAUER, Inc., Colt’s Manufacturing Co., LLC, CZ (Ceská Zbrojovka a.s.), Remington Outdoor Company, Israel Weapon Industries (IWI), Beretta USA Corp., Taurus Armas S.A., Daniel Defense Inc., Armscor International Inc., Barrett Firearms Manufacturing Inc., Savage Arms, Mossberg & Sons, Benelli Armi S.p.A., Heckler & Koch GmbH, American Outdoor Brands Corporation, and Kalashnikov Concern JSC. Leading companies in the Small Arms Market are implementing strategies centered on innovation, collaboration, and technological advancement to strengthen their market presence. Many are investing heavily in R&D to design lighter, modular, and more precise firearms equipped with smart optics and digital integration capabilities. Strategic alliances with military and law enforcement agencies are helping companies secure long-term procurement contracts and align product designs with real-world operational demands. Manufacturers are also expanding their global distribution networks to penetrate emerging markets and strengthen aftermarket support.
Growth in this sector is being driven by rising investments in defense and military modernization programs, growing geopolitical tensions, continuous advancements in small arms technology, and an increasing demand from civilians for personal protection and recreational use. Expanding defense budgets enable armed forces to replace outdated weapon systems with lighter, more modular, and precise alternatives. Modernization programs are expected to peak in the 2020s, particularly among NATO and Asia-Pacific nations, which aim to enhance the versatility and lethality of their armed forces. Technological innovation, especially in optics, sensors, and fire-control mechanisms, is transitioning small arms toward connected and intelligent weapon systems. Ongoing investments in next-generation soldier programs are promoting the adoption of smart optics and AI-powered targeting technologies. Civilian firearm ownership is also contributing significantly to overall market expansion, reflecting a parallel increase in personal and sporting firearm demand worldwide.
The rifled barrel segment generated USD 6.7 billion in 2024. Rifled barrels remain preferred due to their superior precision, extended range, and accuracy, making them suitable for military, law enforcement, and select civilian applications. The introduction of modular rifles and carbines has further sustained demand in this category. Manufacturers are advised to emphasize the development of lightweight, corrosion-resistant rifled barrels integrated with modern optics and accessories. Close collaboration with defense and security agencies will help address evolving operational requirements and foster long-term contracts.
The pistols and revolvers segment held a 39.7% share in 2024. The continued growth of this category is attributed to the convenience, portability, and versatility of these firearms for both professional and civilian users. Manufacturers are encouraged to focus on enhancing modular designs, safety mechanisms, and customization features tailored to varied end-user applications. This approach is expected to maintain consistent dominance in the segment given the sustained consumer preference for adaptable, easy-to-use firearms.
U.S. Small Arms Market reached USD 3.7 billion in 2024, driven by increased defense allocations, modernization of infantry weapons, and a surge in tactical and defense-related firearm procurement. The country’s strong defense ecosystem and ongoing focus on upgrading infantry-level equipment are expected to continue supporting demand. Industry participants are prioritizing the production of durable, high-precision firearms that meet evolving operational needs. Establishing strategic collaborations with defense departments and military units is crucial for developing advanced, mission-ready systems designed for a range of tactical environments.
Prominent players shaping the Global Small Arms Market include Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc., Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc., FN Herstal (FN Browning Group), GLOCK Ges.m.b.H., SIG SAUER, Inc., Colt’s Manufacturing Co., LLC, CZ (Ceská Zbrojovka a.s.), Remington Outdoor Company, Israel Weapon Industries (IWI), Beretta USA Corp., Taurus Armas S.A., Daniel Defense Inc., Armscor International Inc., Barrett Firearms Manufacturing Inc., Savage Arms, Mossberg & Sons, Benelli Armi S.p.A., Heckler & Koch GmbH, American Outdoor Brands Corporation, and Kalashnikov Concern JSC. Leading companies in the Small Arms Market are implementing strategies centered on innovation, collaboration, and technological advancement to strengthen their market presence. Many are investing heavily in R&D to design lighter, modular, and more precise firearms equipped with smart optics and digital integration capabilities. Strategic alliances with military and law enforcement agencies are helping companies secure long-term procurement contracts and align product designs with real-world operational demands. Manufacturers are also expanding their global distribution networks to penetrate emerging markets and strengthen aftermarket support.
Table of Contents
190 Pages
- Chapter 1 Methodology
- 1.1 Market scope and definition
- 1.2 Research design
- 1.2.1 Research approach
- 1.2.2 Data collection methods
- 1.3 Data mining sources
- 1.3.1 Global
- 1.3.2 Regional/Country
- 1.4 Base estimates and calculations
- 1.4.1 Base year calculation
- 1.4.2 Key trends for market estimation
- 1.5 Primary research and validation
- 1.5.1 Primary sources
- 1.6 Forecast model
- 1.7 Research assumptions and limitations
- Chapter 2 Executive Summary
- 2.1 Industry 360° synopsis, 2021 – 2034
- 2.2 Key market trends
- 2.2.1 Type trends
- 2.2.2 Caliber trends
- 2.2.3 Barrel type trends
- 2.2.4 Technology trends
- 2.2.5 Firing mechanism trends
- 2.2.6 Operation mode trends
- 2.2.7 End-use application trends
- 2.2.8 Regional trends
- 2.3 TAM analysis, 2025-2034
- 2.4 CXO perspectives: strategic imperatives
- 2.4.1 Executive decision points
- 2.4.2 Critical success factors
- 2.5 Future outlook and strategic recommendations
- Chapter 3 Industry Insights
- 3.1 Industry ecosystem analysis
- 3.1.1 Supplier landscape
- 3.1.2 Profit margin analysis
- 3.1.3 Cost structure
- 3.1.4 Value addition at each stage
- 3.1.5 Factor affecting the value chain
- 3.1.6 Disruptions
- 3.2 Industry impact forces
- 3.2.1 Growth drivers
- 3.2.1.1 Rising investment in military sector globally
- 3.2.1.2 Increasing civilian firearms demand for personal security
- 3.2.1.3 Technological advancements in small arms
- 3.2.1.4 Expansion of defense modernization programs
- 3.2.1.5 Rising geopolitical tensions and border security concerns
- 3.2.2 Industry pitfalls and challenges
- 3.2.2.1 Strict firearm regulations and licensing requirements
- 3.2.2.2 High cost of advanced small arms
- 3.2.3 Market opportunities
- 3.2.3.1 Integration of smart gun technologies
- 3.2.3.2 Rising demand from emerging markets
- 3.3 Growth potential analysis
- 3.4 Regulatory landscape
- 3.4.1 North America
- 3.4.2 Europe
- 3.4.3 Asia Pacific
- 3.4.4 Latin America
- 3.4.5 Middle East & Africa
- 3.5 Porter’s analysis
- 3.6 PESTEL analysis
- 3.7 Technology and Innovation landscape
- 3.7.1 Current technological trends
- 3.7.2 Emerging technologies
- 3.8 Price trends
- 3.8.1 By region
- 3.8.2 By product
- 3.9 Pricing Strategies
- 3.10 Emerging business models
- 3.11 Compliance requirements
- 3.12 Defense budget analysis
- 3.13 Global defense spending trends
- 3.14 Regional defense budget allocation
- 3.14.1 North America
- 3.14.2 Europe
- 3.14.3 Asia Pacific
- 3.14.4 Middle East and Africa
- 3.14.5 Latin America
- 3.15 Key defense modernization programs
- 3.16 Budget forecast (2025–2034)
- 3.16.1 Impact on industry growth
- 3.16.2 Defense budgets by country
- 3.16.3 Defense budget allocation by segment
- 3.16.3.1 Personnel
- 3.16.3.2 Operations and maintenance
- 3.16.3.3 Procurement
- 3.16.3.4 Research, development, test and evaluation
- 3.16.3.5 Infrastructure and construction
- 3.16.3.6 Technology and innovation
- 3.17 Supply chain resilience
- 3.18 Geopolitical analysis
- 3.19 Workforce analysis
- 3.20 Digital transformation
- 3.21 Mergers, acquisitions, and strategic partnerships landscape
- 3.22 Risk assessment and management
- 3.23 Major contract awards (2021–2024)
- Chapter 4 Competitive Landscape, 2024
- 4.1 Introduction
- 4.2 Company market share analysis
- 4.2.1 By region
- 4.2.1.1 North America
- 4.2.1.2 Europe
- 4.2.1.3 Asia Pacific
- 4.2.1.4 Latin America
- 4.2.1.5 Middle East & Africa
- 4.3 Competitive benchmarking of key players
- 4.3.1 Financial performance comparison
- 4.3.1.1 Revenue
- 4.3.1.2 Profit margin
- 4.3.1.3 R&D
- 4.3.2 Product portfolio comparison
- 4.3.2.1 Product range breadth
- 4.3.2.2 Technology
- 4.3.2.3 Innovation
- 4.3.3 Geographic presence comparison
- 4.3.3.1 Global footprint analysis
- 4.3.3.2 Service network coverage
- 4.3.3.3 Market penetration by region
- 4.3.4 Competitive positioning matrix
- 4.3.4.1 Leaders
- 4.3.4.2 Challengers
- 4.3.4.3 Followers
- 4.3.4.4 Niche players
- 4.3.5 Strategic outlook matrix
- 4.4 Key developments, 2021-2024
- 4.4.1 Mergers and acquisitions
- 4.4.2 Partnerships and collaborations
- 4.4.3 Technological advancements
- 4.4.4 Expansion and investment strategies
- 4.4.5 Digital transformation initiatives
- 4.5 Emerging/ startup competitors landscape
- Chapter 5 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Type, 2021 – 2034 (USD Million & Thousand units)
- 5.1 Key trends
- 5.2 Pistols & revolvers
- 5.3 Rifles
- 5.4 Shotguns
- 5.5 Machine guns
- 5.6 Others
- Chapter 6 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Caliber, 2021 – 2034 (USD Million & Thousand units)
- 6.1 Key trends
- 6.2 5.56 mm
- 6.3 7.62 mm
- 6.4 9 mm
- 6.5 12.7 mm
- 6.6 14.5 mm
- 6.7 Others
- Chapter 7 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Barrel Type, 2021 – 2034 (USD Million & Thousand units)
- 7.1 Key trends
- 7.2 Rifled barrel
- 7.3 Smoothbore
- Chapter 8 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Technology, 2021 – 2034 (USD Million & Thousand units)
- 8.1 Key trends
- 8.2 Guided
- 8.3 Unguided
- Chapter 9 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Firing Mechanism, 2021 – 2034 (USD Million & Thousand units)
- 9.1 Key trends
- 9.2 Gas operated
- 9.3 Recoil operated
- 9.4 Manual (bolt/lever/pump)
- Chapter 10 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Operation Mode, 2021 – 2034 (USD Million & Thousand units)
- 10.1 Key trends
- 10.2 Manual
- 10.3 Semi-automatic
- 10.4 Automatic
- Chapter 11 Market Estimates & Forecast, By End Use Application, 2021 - 2034 (USD Million & Thousand units)
- 11.1 Key Trends
- 11.1.1 Defense
- 11.1.1.1 Military
- 11.1.1.2 Law enforcement
- 11.1.2 Civil & Commercial
- 11.1.2.1 Sporting
- 11.1.2.2 Hunting
- 11.1.2.3 Self defense
- 11.1.2.4 Others
- Chapter 12 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Region, 2021 - 2034 (USD Million & Thousand units)
- 12.1 Key trends
- 12.2 North America
- 12.2.1 U.S.
- 12.2.2 Canada
- 12.3 Europe
- 12.3.1 Germany
- 12.3.2 UK
- 12.3.3 France
- 12.3.4 Italy
- 12.3.5 Spain
- 12.3.6 Netherlands
- 12.4 Asia Pacific
- 12.4.1 China
- 12.4.2 India
- 12.4.3 Japan
- 12.4.4 Australia
- 12.4.5 South Korea
- 12.5 Latin America
- 12.5.1 Brazil
- 12.5.2 Mexico
- 12.5.3 Argentina
- 12.6 MEA
- 12.6.1 South Africa
- 12.6.2 Saudi Arabia
- 12.6.3 UAE
- Chapter 13 Company Profiles
- 13.1 Global Key Players
- 13.1.1 Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.
- 13.1.2 Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc.
- 13.1.3 SIG SAUER, Inc.
- 13.1.4 GLOCK Ges.m.b.H.
- 13.1.5 FN Herstal (FN Browning Group)
- 13.2 Regional Key Players
- 13.2.1 North America
- 13.2.1.1 Colt’s Manufacturing Co, LLC
- 13.2.1.2 Beretta USA Corp.
- 13.2.1.3 Daniel Defense Inc.
- 13.2.2 Europe
- 13.2.2.1 Heckler & Koch GmbH
- 13.2.2.2 CZ (Ceska Zbrojovka a.s.)
- 13.2.2.3 Taurus Armas S.A.
- 13.2.3 Asia Pacific
- 13.2.3.1 Kalashnikov Concern JSC
- 13.2.3.2 Armscor International Inc.
- 13.2.3.3 Savage Arms
- 13.3 Niche Players / Disruptors
- 13.3.1 Benelli Armi S.p.A.
- 13.3.2 Remington Outdoor Company
- 13.3.3 American Outdoor Brands Corporation
- 13.3.4 Barrett Firearms Manufacturing Inc.
- 13.3.5 Israel Weapon Industries (IWI)
Pricing
Currency Rates
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