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6G Wireless Market Outlook and Forecasts 2024 – 2030

Publisher Mind Commerce
Published Dec 23, 2024
Length 382 Pages
SKU # CCJQ19437435

Description

6G Wireless Market Outlook and Forecasts 2024 – 2030



In its sixth year of analyzing the emerging six-generation wireless market, the publisher of this report is the leading market research company focused upon emerging 6G technologies, capabilities, solutions, applications and services. This latest report expands upon previous analysis to include 6G technology investment, R&D, prototyping and testing.

The report also assesses the outlook for 6G market commercialization, including opportunities for infrastructure development and equipment deployment as well as a realization of applications and services. The report also analyzes 6G market use cases for select industry verticals. The report provides 6G market estimates for 2024 through 2030, with the lower end of the range focused primarily on technology development, and the later end of the range focused on 6G market commercialization.

One of the overarching insights from this research is that 5G technology (and resulting apps and services) are anticipated to be largely a steppingstone to the 6G technology market. Stated differently, just as 3G did not add substantive value, largely a bridge to 4G/LTE, we also see 5G acting as a catalyst for the 6G market.

Mind Commerce sees this as the case for a few key reasons including: (1) 5G will have minimal effect in the near-term for the consumer segment, (2) Advanced 5G and edge computing supported private wireless solutions for enterprise and industrial sectors will facilitate innovation in smart buildings, smart factories, and automation in general, and (3) 5G will pave the way for expansion of immersive technologies (AR, VR, and haptic Internet), but a truly rich user experience will not come until the 6G technology market is fully developed.

We also see the 6G technology market facilitating substantive improvements in the areas of sensing, imaging, presence and location determination. Higher frequencies will enable much faster sampling rates as well as significantly greater accuracy, down to the centimeter level. This will have big implications for many government and industry solutions in public safety and critical asset protection such as threat detection, health monitoring, feature/facial recognition and decision making (as in law enforcement, social credit systems, and other areas), air quality measurements, gas and toxicity sensing, and much more.

6G radio networks will provide the means of communications and data gathering necessary to accumulate information, but a systems approach will be required for the 6G technology market involving data analytics, artificial intelligence, and next generation computation capabilities via High Performance Computing (HPC) and quantum computing.

The aforementioned transition will be both exciting and painful, depending on the timing, readiness, and position within the value chain for ecosystem participants.

The 6G technology market will represent yet another large expenditure for communication service providers (CSPs). However, one of the transformative aspects of 6G is that it will support a highly distributed service provider environment, meaning that the market will not be so reliant upon incumbent CSPs with licensed spectrum.

In fact, one of the ways in which 5G is laying the groundwork for 6G solutions is the many private wireless implementations involving evolved LTE, 5G, and edge computing for enterprise and industrial customers. Next generation 6G networks will take this one step further with a web of communications providers, many of which will be self-providers, much in the way that PV solar has engendered co-generation within the smart grid.

The 6G technology market will also be a major facilitator of many new innovations, across a wide variety of industry verticals. However, due to the highly strategic nature of certain 6G capabilities, sovereign nations will likely be most interested in the 6G technology market for government wireless applications. This may very well make the “arms race” for 5G supremacy look like a warm-up for the main event, which will be a race to see what countries can dominate the 6G technology market and related applications, services, and solutions.

Organizations Covered in Report Include:
  • 5G-ACIA
  • Aalborg University
  • Alcatel-Lucent
  • Anritsu
  • Apple Inc.
  • AT&T Inc.
  • Autotalks
  • Bennett University
  • Bharti Airtel
  • Broadcom
  • BT Group plc
  • China Mobile
  • China Telecom
  • China Unicom
  • Cisco Systems
  • Cloudflare
  • CNet
  • CNR-IMAA
  • ComSenTer (University of California)
  • Corning Incorporated
  • DARPA
  • DeepSig
  • Deutsche Telekom
  • Ericsson
  • ETSI
  • EURECOM
  • European Commission
  • Facebook Connectivity
  • Fastly
  • Federal Communications Commission (FCC)
  • Federated Wireless
  • Fortinet
  • Fraunhofer FOKUS
  • Fujitsu
  • Glasgow University
  • Google
  • Graz University of Technology
  • Hexa-X Consortium
  • Huawei Technologies
  • IMT-2030 Promotion Group
  • Indian Institute of Technology (IIT Kanpur, Madras, IIIT Bangalore)
  • Institute of Communication and Computer Systems (ICCS)
  • Institute of Telecommunications (IT)
  • Intel Corporation
  • InterDigital
  • ITU
  • Jio Platforms
  • Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT)
  • KDDI Corporation
  • Keysight Technologies
  • King's College London
  • LG Electronics
  • MediaTek
  • MIT
  • Motorola Solutions
  • Nanyang Technological University
  • National Institute of Information and Communications Technology (NICT)
  • National Instruments
  • National Science Foundation
  • NEC Corporation
  • Next G Alliance
  • NGMN Alliance
  • Nokia Corporation
  • NTT DoCoMo
  • Nvidia
  • NYU Wireless
  • OneWeb
  • Orange
  • Palo Alto Networks
  • Politecnico di Milano
  • Princeton University
  • Qualcomm
  • Rakuten Mobile
  • Reliance Jio
  • Rohde & Schwarz
  • Samsung Electronics
  • Singtel
  • SK Telecom
  • SoftBank Group Corp.
  • Sony Corporation
  • Stanford University
  • Starlink
  • Telecom Paris
  • Telecom SudParis
  • Telefonica
  • T-Mobile US
  • TU Braunschweig
  • University of Bristol
  • University of Oulu
  • University of Piraeus
  • University of Porto
  • University of Sheffield
  • University of Southern California
  • University of Surrey
  • University of Texas at Austin
  • University of Twente
  • University of York
  • Verizon Communications
  • Virginia Diodes
  • Virginia Tech
  • Vodafone Group
  • VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland
  • ZTE Corporation

Table of Contents

382 Pages
1.0 Executive Summary
1.1 Overview
1.2 Research Objectives
1.3 Report Highlights
2.0 Introduction
2.1 Defining 6G Wireless
2.1.1 6G Key Performance Indicators
2.1.2 5G and 6G Comparison
2.2 6G Roadmap: Evolution to 6G Wireless Networks
2.3 Beyond 5G Evolution, 5G Context, and 6G
2.3.1 Much Greater Data Speed
2.3.2 Focus on Edge Computing for Latency Reduction
2.3.3 Dealing with Radio Propagation and Mobility Challenges
2.3.4 Providing Massively Scalable Support for IoT
2.3.5 Increased Emphasis on Private Networks for Business
2.4 6G Network Elements
2.4.1 New Spectrum and Frequencies
2.4.2 Radio Access Network Transformation
2.4.3 Changes to Core Networks
2.4.4 Evolution of the Datacenter
2.5 6G Functionality and Benefits
2.5.1 6G Functionality and Features
2.5.1.1 Leverages Terahertz Communication
2.5.1.2 Emphasis on Energy Conservation
2.5.1.3 Operational, Environmental, and Service Intelligence
2.5.1.4 Improved Security and Privacy
2.5.1.5 Connected Satellite Network and Intelligence
2.5.1.6 Synergy among Information and Energy
2.5.1.7 Three-Dimensional Connectivity
2.5.1.8 Small Cell Network Evolution
2.5.1.9 Hyper-Dense Heterogenous Networks
2.5.1.10 Ultra-High-Capacity Wireless Backhaul
2.5.1.11 Communications and Sensing Integration
2.5.1.12 Next Generation Softwarization and Virtualization
2.6 6G Technology Benefits
2.7 6G Market Drivers and Challenges
2.7.1 6G Market Growth Factors
2.7.1.1 Need for Microsecond Latency
2.7.1.2 Growth of IoT and Industrial, Object Driven Traffic
2.7.1.3 Wireless Cognition, Single Core Structure, and Public Safety
2.7.1.4 Smart City Applications: Sensing and More
2.7.1.5 Ubiquitous Coverage from Satellite Internet to Ultra-Local Networks
2.7.1.6 Ultra-Macro Coverage
2.7.1.7 Ultra-Micro Coverage
2.7.1.8 Fully Digital and Connected World
2.7.1.9 Fundamental Improvements in User Experience
2.7.1.10 6G Democratizes Intelligence
2.7.1.10.1 Smart Surfaces
2.7.1.10.2 Smart Environments
2.7.1.10.3 Smart Power
2.7.1.11 Meeting UN Sustainable Development Goals
2.7.1.12 Facilitating Private-Public Industry Collaboration
2.7.1.13 Realizing a Hyper Connected Intelligent World
2.7.2 6G Market Challenges
2.7.2.1 High Deployment Expenditures
2.7.2.2 Unprecedented Impacts on Industry Verticals
2.7.2.3 Business Model Disruption for Communication Service Providers
2.7.2.3.1 Substantial Disintermediation
2.7.2.3.2 Voice and Data Value Perception Approaches Zero
2.7.2.3.3 Extreme Focus on Local Communication and Networking
2.7.2.3.4 Device to Device Signaling, Relay, and Mesh Networks
2.7.2.3.5 Supporting Micro-Operators Networks
2.7.2.4 Business Model Disruption for Computing and Data Centers
2.7.2.4.1 Significant Data will be Creation
2.7.2.4.2 Edge Compute Native Networks
2.7.2.4.3 Considerable Catalyst for HPC and Quantum Computing
2.7.2.4.4 New Security and Privacy Issues
2.8 6G Business Models
2.8.1 Decentralized Business Model
2.8.2 New Business Model for Network Operators
2.8.3 Private Network Transformation
2.8.4 Micro-Operators and Distributed Services Model
2.9 6G Value Chain
2.9.1 User Equipment Manufacturers
2.9.2 Infrastructure Manufacturers
2.9.3 Connectivity Providers
2.9.4 IoT Solution Providers
2.9.5 Analytics Solution Providers
2.9.6 Enterprise, Government, and Industrial Users
2.9.7 Software Solution Providers
2.10 Anticipated 6G Wireless Impacts on Industry and Society
2.10.1 6G Wireless Impact on Information and Communications Technology
2.10.2 6G Economic and Cultural Impacts
2.11 6G Wireless Research Initiatives and Industry Development
2.11.1 6G Wireless R&D by Country
2.11.1.1 Finland
2.11.1.2 China
2.11.1.3 United States
2.11.1.4 Canada
2.11.1.5 Japan
2.11.1.6 South Korea
2.11.2 6G Wireless R&D by Select Organizations
2.11.2.1 6G Flagship
2.11.2.2 European Commission
2.11.2.3 International Telecommunication Union
3.0 6G Wireless Technology Considerations
3.1 6G Wireless Spectrum Evolution
3.1.1 95 GHz to 3 THz Frequency Bands
3.1.2 THz Spectrum Benefits
3.1.3 Radio Frequency and Data Rates Targeting One Terabit
3.1.4 Unlicensed Spectrum and Private Networks
3.1.4.1 NR U and 6G U
3.1.4.2 6G Private Networks
3.1.5 Citizens Broadband Radio Service (CBRS) and Spectrum Sharing
3.1.6 Impact of Softwarization and AI
3.2 6G Network Management and Orchestration
3.3 6G Wireless Communication Infrastructure
3.3.1 Physical, Digital, and Biological System Convergence
3.3.2 Short Range Communication Impact
3.3.3 AI and Machine Learning
3.3.4 Inter-Protocol Interference
3.3.5 Molecular Communications
3.3.6 Internet of Nano-Things
3.3.7 Internet of Sense
3.4 6G Communication Technologies
3.4.1 Substantial Improvements in Enhanced Mobile Broadband
3.4.2 Secure Ultra-Reliable Low-Latency Communications
3.4.3 3D Integrated Communications
3.4.4 Unconventional Data Communications
3.5 6G Wireless Enabling Technologies
3.5.1 Terahertz Frequency
3.5.2 Optical Wireless Technology
3.5.3 FSO Backhaul Network
3.5.4 Blockchain-Based Spectrum Sharing
3.5.5 Three-Dimensional Networking
3.5.6 Flexible Communications
3.5.7 Integrated Energy Management, Sensing and Communications
3.5.8 Dynamic Network Slicing
3.5.9 Holographic Beamforming
3.5.10 Supermassive Intelligent Surface Assisted MIMO and Large-Scale Antenna Arrays
3.5.11 AI Native 6G Networks
3.5.12 Intelligence at the Edge of Everything
3.5.13 Modern Random-Access Protocols for IoT
3.5.14 Radio Access Technology in Industry 4.0
3.5.15 Semantic Intelligence
3.5.16 Encryption Technologies
3.5.17 Visible Light Communication and Sub-THz Communication
3.5.18 Orbital Angular Momentum Multiplexing
3.5.19 CMOS Technology and Intelligent Chips
3.5.20 Fixed Wireless Access
3.5.21 Quasi-Optical Antennas
3.5.22 Artificial Intelligence and IoT Fusion
3.5.23 Digital Signal Processing
3.6 6G R&D Investments
3.7 6G Testbeds for Technology Acceptance and Market Development
4.0 6G Wireless Infrastructure Market
4.1 Core Infrastructure
4.2 Radio Equipment
4.3 Computing Equipment
4.4 Transport Networks
5.0 6G Wireless Semiconductor Market
5.1 6G Chipsets
5.2 Terahertz Receivers
5.2.1 Nanoscale Atomristor Switch
6.0 6G Wireless Device Market
6.1 Smartphones and other Handheld Devices
6.2 Wearables and Implantables
6.3 Modems, Gateways, Access Points
6.4 Vehicle Communications
6.5 Buildings and Facility Communications
7.0 6G Materials Market
8.0 6G Wireless Solution Areas
8.1 6G Communications
8.2 6G Sensing
8.3 6G Imaging
8.4 6G Precise Location
9.0 6G Wireless Use Cases and Anticipated Applications
9.1 Volumetric Media Streaming
9.2 Connected Manufacturing and Automation
9.3 Multi-Sensory Extended Reality
9.4 Next Generation Healthcare
9.5 Communications for Brain-Computer Integration
9.6 Connected Robotics and Autonomous Systems
9.7 Five Sense Information Transfer
9.8 Internet of Everything
10.0 6G Wireless Synergies with Next Gen Computing
10.1 Multi Access Edge Computing
10.2 High Performance Computing
10.3 Quantum Computing
10.3.1 Quantum Technologies: Communication, Sensing, Simulation, and Imaging
10.3.2 Next Generation Computing
10.3.3 Digital Twining Technology, Smart Machines, and Physical-Cyber Convergence
11.0 6G Wireless Technology Organizational Analysis
11.1 5G-ACIA
11.2 Aalborg University
11.3 Alcatel-Lucent
11.4 Anritsu
11.5 Apple Inc.
11.6 AT&T Inc.
11.7 Autotalks
11.8 Bennett University
11.9 Bharti Airtel
11.10 Broadcom
11.11 BT Group plc
11.12 China Mobile
11.13 China Telecom
11.14 China Unicom
11.15 Cisco Systems
11.16 Cloudflare
11.17 CNet
11.18 CNR-IMAA
11.19 ComSenTer (University of California)
11.20 Corning Incorporated
11.21 DARPA
11.22 DeepSig
11.23 Deutsche Telekom
11.24 Ericsson
11.25 ETSI
11.26 EURECOM
11.27 European Commission
11.28 Facebook Connectivity
11.29 Fastly
11.30 Federal Communications Commission (FCC)
11.31 Federated Wireless
11.32 Fortinet
11.33 Fraunhofer FOKUS
11.34 Fujitsu
11.35 Glasgow University
11.36 Google
11.37 Graz University of Technology
11.38 Hexa-X Consortium
11.39 Huawei Technologies
11.40 IMT-2030 Promotion Group
11.41 Indian Institute of Technology (IIT Kanpur, Madras, IIIT Bangalore)
11.42 Institute of Communication and Computer Systems (ICCS)
11.43 Institute of Telecommunications (IT)
11.44 Intel Corporation
11.45 InterDigital
11.46 ITU
11.47 Jio Platforms
11.48 Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT)
11.49 KDDI Corporation
11.50 Keysight Technologies
11.51 King's College London
11.52 LG Electronics
11.53 MediaTek
11.54 MIT
11.55 Motorola Solutions
11.56 Nanyang Technological University
11.57 National Institute of Information and Communications Technology (NICT)
11.58 National Instruments
11.59 National Science Foundation
11.60 NEC Corporation
11.61 Next G Alliance
11.62 NGMN Alliance
11.63 Nokia Corporation
11.64 NTT DoCoMo
11.65 Nvidia
11.66 NYU Wireless
11.67 OneWeb
11.68 Orange
11.69 Palo Alto Networks
11.70 Politecnico di Milano
11.71 Princeton University
11.72 Qualcomm
11.73 Rakuten Mobile
11.74 Reliance Jio
11.75 Rohde & Schwarz
11.76 Samsung Electronics
11.77 Singtel
11.78 SK Telecom
11.79 SoftBank Group Corp.
11.80 Sony Corporation
11.81 Stanford University
11.82 Starlink
11.83 Telecom Paris
11.84 Telecom SudParis
11.85 Telefonica
11.86 T-Mobile US
11.87 TU Braunschweig
11.88 University of Bristol
11.89 University of Oulu
11.90 University of Piraeus
11.91 University of Porto
11.92 University of Sheffield
11.93 University of Southern California
11.94 University of Surrey
11.95 University of Texas at Austin
11.96 University of Twente
11.97 University of York
11.98 Verizon Communications
11.99 Virginia Diodes
11.100 Virginia Tech
11.101 Vodafone Group
11.102 VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland
11.103 ZTE Corporation
12.0 6G Wireless Market Analysis and Forecasts 2024 – 2030
12.1 Network, Device and Computing Cost Considerations
12.2 6G Wireless Infrastructure Market 2024 – 2030
12.2.1 Global 6G Infrastructure Market
12.2.2 Global 6G Infrastructure Market by Type
12.2.2.1 Global 6G Infrastructure Market by End User Device
12.2.2.2 Global 6G Infrastructure Market by Equipment
12.2.2.3 Global 6G Infrastructure Market by Semiconductors
12.2.2.4 Global 6G Infrastructure Market by 6G Materials
12.2.3 Regional 6G Infrastructure Market
12.2.3.1 6G Infrastructure Market by Region
12.2.3.1.1 APAC 6G Infrastructure Market: Device, Equipment, and Materials
12.2.3.1.2 North America 6G Infrastructure Market: Device, Equipment, and Materials
12.2.3.1.3 Europe 6G Infrastructure Market: Device, Equipment, and Materials
12.2.3.1.4 MEA 6G Infrastructure Market: Device, Equipment, and Materials
12.2.3.1.5 Latin America 6G Infrastructure Market: Device, Equipment, and Materials
12.3 6G Wireless Infrastructure by Unit Deployment 2024 – 2030
12.3.1 Global 6G Infrastructure Unit Deployment
12.3.2 Global 6G Infrastructure Unit Deployment by Type
12.3.2.1 Global 6G End User Device Unit Deployment
12.3.2.2 Global 6G Infrastructure Unit Deployment by Equipment
12.3.2.3 Global 6G Semiconductor Unit Deployment
12.3.3 6G Infrastructure Unit Deployment by Region
12.3.3.1 APAC 6G Infrastructure Unit Deployment: Device, Equipment, and Country
12.3.3.2 North America 6G Infrastructure Unit Deployment: Device, Equipment, and Country
12.3.3.3 Europe 6G Infrastructure Unit Deployment: Device, Equipment, and Country
12.3.3.4 MEA 6G Infrastructure Unit Deployment: Device, Equipment, and Country
12.3.3.5 Latin America 6G Infrastructure Unit Deployment: Device, Equipment, and Country
12.4 6G Wireless Testbeds Market 2024 – 2030
12.4.1 Global 6G Testbed PaaS Market
12.4.2 Global 6G Testbed PaaS Market by Region
12.4.3 Global 6G Testbed PaaS Market by Country
12.5 6G Wireless Investment 2024 – 2030
12.5.1 Global 6G R&D Investment
12.5.1.1 Global 6G R&D Investment by Funding Type
12.5.2 Global 6G Core Infrastructure Investment
12.5.3 Global 6G Transport Network Investment
13.0 Conclusions and Recommendations
13.1 Advertisers and Media Companies
13.2 Artificial Intelligence Providers
13.3 Automotive Companies
13.4 Broadband Infrastructure Providers
13.5 Communication Service Providers
13.6 Computing Companies
13.7 Data Analytics Providers
13.8 Immersive Technology (AR, VR, and MR) Providers
13.9 Networking Equipment Providers
13.10 Networking Security Providers
13.11 Semiconductor Companies
13.12 IoT Suppliers and Service Providers
13.13 Software Providers
13.14 Smart City System Integrators
13.15 Automation System Providers
13.16 Social Media Companies
13.17 Telecom Operators
13.18 OTT Service Providers
13.19 Enterprise and Government
14.0 Appendix: The Evolution to 6G Wireless
14.1 5G Technologies in Support of 6G Evolution
14.1.1 5G Communication Technology
14.1.1.1 Enhanced Mobile Broadband (eMBB)
14.1.1.2 Ultra-reliable Low-latency Communications (URLLC)
14.1.1.3 Massive Machine-type Communications (mMTC)
14.1.2 Service Based Architecture and Orchestration
14.1.3 Fixed Wireless Access
14.1.4 Edge Computing with Communication
14.1.5 Smart Antennas with MIMO and Beam Forming
14.1.6 Smart Surfaces Technology
14.2 5G Applications to Expedite 6G Evolution
14.2.1 Retail and Consumer Electronics Applications
14.2.2 Healthcare Applications
14.2.3 Industrial Automation Applications
14.2.4 Intelligent Building Automation Applications
14.2.5 Automotive and Transportation Applications
14.2.6 Home Automation Applications
14.2.7 Financial Institution Applications
14.2.8 Energy and Utilities Applications
14.2.9 Public Safety Applications
14.2.10 Military Applications
14.2.11 Oil and Gas Applications
14.2.12 Mining Applications
14.2.13 Agriculture Applications
14.3 5G Service Market 2024 – 2030
14.3.1 5G Service Market by Communication Technology
14.3.1.1 5G eMBB Market by Application
14.3.1.2 5G mMTC Market by Application
14.3.1.3 5G URLLC Market by Application
14.3.1.4 5G FWA Market by Application
14.3.2 5G Service Market by Communication Device
14.3.3 5G Market by Service Provider
14.3.3.1 5G Carrier/MNO Service Market
14.3.3.1.1 5G Consumer Application Market
14.3.3.1.2 5G Enterprise Application Market
14.3.3.1.3 5G Government Application Market
14.3.3.2 5G OTT Service Market
14.4 5G New Radio Application Market 2024 – 2030

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