Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update, 2022–2026: September 2022

Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update, 2022–2026: September 2022

This IDC study presents the updated five-year forecast for smartphone shipments worldwide by operating system. The worldwide smartphone market will reach 1.27 billion units shipped in 2022, down 6.5% from the 1.36 billion units shipped in 2021. From there, shipments will hit 1.46 billion units in 2026, the final year of our forecast period, resulting in a CAGR of 1.4%."The resilience of the market's upper echelon has been a testament to the success of iOS, which has not witnessed a full-year shipment decline since 2019," said Anthony Scarsella, research director with IDC's Worldwide Mobile Device Trackers. "Despite the overall market decline, iOS shipments will remain positive in 2022 with 0.5% growth. In addition, the operating system will display minimal growth throughout the forecast period with ASPs hovering well above $950. As for the world's most popular operating system, Android, 2022 will bring a near 8% decline but will rebound nicely in 2023 with 6.2% growth. Unfortunately, the low end of the market has not fared well in 2022, as shipments of Android-based devices under $200 declined 22.4% in the first quarter and 16.5% in the second quarter. On a positive note, devices above $1,000 have displayed 35.2% growth, thanks to premium flagships and the recent success of foldable devices in the market."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.

IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Rethink Your Supply Chain
Foldable Is Set for Growth
Market Forecast
Forecast by Operating System
Forecast Comparison: Smartphones Versus Feature Phones
Feature Phones
Forecast by Region
Smartphone ASP Forecast
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
5G Handsets
Screen Sizes
Component Shortage and China Lockdown
Significant Market Developments
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Feature Phone
Primary Data Sources
Secondary Sources
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
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