
Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update, 2024–2028
Description
Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update, 2024–2028
This IDC study presents the updated five-year forecast for smartphone shipments worldwide by operating system. The smartphone market will reach 1.21 billion units shipped in 2024, up 4.0% from the 1.16 billion units shipped in 2023. From there, shipments will hit 1.30 billion units in 2028, the final year of our forecast period, resulting in a CAGR of 2.3%."5G-powered devices continue to fuel the market as these devices will display a near 16% growth in 2024 as adoption continues to expand across all regions and markets," said Anthony Scarsella, research director with IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker. "The 15.9% growth in 2024 will be followed by another year of double-digit growth in 2025 (+13.2%) as 5G market share will climb to 74.4%, up from 67.2% in 2024. With 5G devices becoming less relevant in most developed markets, the growth of 5G in emerging markets will play a central role in driving shipments throughout the forecast period. With the overall smartphone demonstrating a CAGR of 2.3% from 2024 to 2028, 5G shipments will display an imposing 9.1% growth rate for the same period."
Please Note: Extended description available upon request.
Table of Contents
18 Pages
- IDC Market Forecast Figure
- Executive Summary
- Advice for Technology Suppliers
- Foldable Price Points Falling
- Incorporate AI
- Market Forecast
- Forecast by Operating System
- Android
- iOS
- Forecast Comparison: Smartphones Versus Feature Phones
- Feature Phones
- Smartphones
- Forecast by Region
- Smartphone ASP Forecast
- Market Context
- Drivers and Inhibitors
- Drivers
- 5G Handsets
- Screen Sizes
- Inhibitors
- Replacement Cycle
- Inflation
- Significant Market Developments
- Google Brings New Theft Protection Features to Android
- Changes from Prior Forecast
- Market Definition
- Feature Phone
- Smartphone
- Methodology
- Primary Data Sources
- Secondary Sources
- IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
- Related Research
Pricing
Currency Rates
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