IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2024 Predictions
This IDC study provides IDC's top 10 predictions for developers and DevOps for 2024 and beyond."The new wave of generative AI (GenAI) is washing over the industry, with the impact on developers and DevOps professionals at the leading edge of this new paradigm. Across the seascape of development and DevOps, it can be assumed that change will accelerate, and many of the changes that have been predicted by our IDC FutureScape team over the past several years are now coming to fruition," said Al Gillen, group VP, Software Development and Open Source at IDC. "The next few years are likely to go down as some of the most important in the history of the development and deployment of applications."
Please Note: Extended description available upon request.
- IDC FutureScape Figure
- Executive Summary
- IDC FutureScape Predictions
- Summary of External Drivers
- Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
- Prediction 1: By 2028, GenAI-Based Tools Will Be Capable of Writing 80% of Software Tests, Decreasing the Need for Manual Testing and Resulting in Improvements to Test Coverage, Software Usability, and Code Quality
- Associated Drivers
- IT Impact
- Guidance
- Prediction 2: GenAI Will Reinvent Refactoring of Legacy Apps, with Enterprises Utilizing GenAI Tools and Cloud Service Provider Platforms to Initiate and Execute 75% of Code Conversion and Development Tasks by 2027
- Associated Drivers
- IT Impact
- Guidance
- Prediction 3: By 2026, 40% of Net-New Applications Will Be Intelligent Apps, Where Developers Incorporate AI to Enhance Existing Experiences and Form New Use Cases
- Associated Drivers
- IT Impact
- Guidance
- Prediction 4: By 2026, 30% of Organizations Will Use Server-Side Wasm Within Their Application Delivery Chain, Achieving Key Improvements in Code Reusability, Security, and Time to Market
- Associated Drivers
- IT Impact
- Guidance
- Prediction 5: By 2026, the Maturation of GenAI Technologies Will Catalyze Accelerated Growth of the World's Developer Population and Cause the World's Developer Population to Grow 1.5x Faster
- Associated Drivers
- IT Impact
- Guidance
- Prediction 6: By 2025, 60% of DevOps Teams Will Use DevSecOps Tools Leveraging AI to Identify Security Challenges in Applications and Supply Chains
- Associated Drivers
- IT Impact
- Guidance
- Prediction 7: By 2028, Natural Language Will Become the Most Widely Used Programming Language, with Developers Using It to Create 55% of Net-New Applications
- Associated Drivers
- IT Impact
- Guidance
- Prediction 8: By 2027, 70% of Enterprises Will Adopt a Composable, Internal-Facing App Platform Empowering Developers to Source and Personalize Discovery of Development-Related Products, Services, and Infrastructure
- Associated Drivers
- IT Impact
- Guidance
- Prediction 9: By 2027, 60% of Enterprise Developers Will Use GPUs and Other Specialty Processors to Enhance Development for Machine Learning, AI, Video Editing, 3D Modeling, Simulations, and Digital Twins
- Associated Drivers
- IT Impact
- Guidance
- Prediction 10: By 2025, 70% of Enterprises Will Use Integrated Value Stream Management Metrics Within Development and Deployment Tools to Map Efforts to Business Outcomes and Drive Increased Delivery Coordination
- Associated Drivers
- IT Impact
- Guidance
- Advice for Technology Buyers
- External Drivers: Detail
- AI Everywhere — Generative AI Takes the Spotlight
- The Drive to Automate — Maximizing Efficiency and New Opportunities
- Cybersecurity and Risk — Building Resilience Against Multiplying Threats
- The Digital Business Imperative — Competitiveness and Outcomes
- Everything as a Service Intensifies — Transforming Models to Drive Change
- Dynamic Work and Skills Requirements — New Work Mode Era
- Operationalization of ESG — Measuring and Implementing Sustainability
- Learn More
- Related Research
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