
Canadian Communications Services Forecast, 2022–2026: Telecom Inside Out
Description
Canadian Communications Services Forecast, 2022–2026: Telecom Inside Out
This IDC study presents IDC Canada's five-year forecasts for communications services spending by market and customer segments, company size, industry sector, and region for 2022–2026 based on the annual update of IDC Canada's custom Communications Market Model and replaces our previous comprehensive spring and fall 2021 forecasts (see Lawrence Surtees, Meng Cong, and Manish Nargas, Canadian Communications Services Forecast, 2021–2025: Telecom Still Inside Out from COVID-19, IDC Canada # This five-year forecast document also includes our current assumptions of the COVID-19 pandemic in early to mid-2022.However, the course of the COVID-19 pandemic is still uncertain and coupled with the Russia-Ukraine War continues to produce economic impacts on a scale not seen since the Great Depression as well as introducing many uncertainties and factors that change almost weekly. Clients are cautioned that this forecast document is based on a snapshot of fast-changing macroeconomic forecasts and conditionsthat existed in mid-to-late April. Readers are also urged to visit IDC's website (at www.idc.com) for frequent updates on the global and Canadian communications and IT sectors.Readers should note the adjustments made in this study and rely on this current forecast for initial 2022 planning purposes. This study addresses the following questions:How does current and projected spending on Canadian communication services differ by: market segment, customer segment, company size, region, and industry vertical sector?Which customer segments, company size, industry, and regional segments of the Canadian communications services market are poised for growth, and which are the best opportunities for communication service providers (SPs) over the new five-year forecast period?"Investment in and deployment of next-generation network (NGN) technologies are key to coping with the triple challenges to mitigate COVID-19-related revenue loss, meet burgeoning network demand, and pursue potential new revenue streams," says study coauthor Lawrence Surtees, vice president of Communications Research and principal analyst at IDC Canada Ltd. "The duration of the COVID-19 pandemic and prospect of recession remain unknown, but the communications service sector remains better insulated than most to weather the uncertainties."
Please Note: Extended description available upon request.
This IDC study presents IDC Canada's five-year forecasts for communications services spending by market and customer segments, company size, industry sector, and region for 2022–2026 based on the annual update of IDC Canada's custom Communications Market Model and replaces our previous comprehensive spring and fall 2021 forecasts (see Lawrence Surtees, Meng Cong, and Manish Nargas, Canadian Communications Services Forecast, 2021–2025: Telecom Still Inside Out from COVID-19, IDC Canada # This five-year forecast document also includes our current assumptions of the COVID-19 pandemic in early to mid-2022.However, the course of the COVID-19 pandemic is still uncertain and coupled with the Russia-Ukraine War continues to produce economic impacts on a scale not seen since the Great Depression as well as introducing many uncertainties and factors that change almost weekly. Clients are cautioned that this forecast document is based on a snapshot of fast-changing macroeconomic forecasts and conditionsthat existed in mid-to-late April. Readers are also urged to visit IDC's website (at www.idc.com) for frequent updates on the global and Canadian communications and IT sectors.Readers should note the adjustments made in this study and rely on this current forecast for initial 2022 planning purposes. This study addresses the following questions:How does current and projected spending on Canadian communication services differ by: market segment, customer segment, company size, region, and industry vertical sector?Which customer segments, company size, industry, and regional segments of the Canadian communications services market are poised for growth, and which are the best opportunities for communication service providers (SPs) over the new five-year forecast period?"Investment in and deployment of next-generation network (NGN) technologies are key to coping with the triple challenges to mitigate COVID-19-related revenue loss, meet burgeoning network demand, and pursue potential new revenue streams," says study coauthor Lawrence Surtees, vice president of Communications Research and principal analyst at IDC Canada Ltd. "The duration of the COVID-19 pandemic and prospect of recession remain unknown, but the communications service sector remains better insulated than most to weather the uncertainties."
Please Note: Extended description available upon request.
Table of Contents
101 Pages
- IDC Market Forecast Figure
- Executive Summary
- Advice for Technology Suppliers
- Market Forecast
- Canadian Communications Services Market in 2021
- Comparison of Year-End Results with Previous IDC Forecast
- Communications Service Market Segment Trends
- Wireless Remains Key to Competitive Position
- Video Segment Declining
- Enterprise TV Revenue Not a Panacea
- Telecom Service Customer Segment Trends
- Enterprise Sector Trends
- Regional Trends
- Communications Service Sector Forecast, 2022–2026
- Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic
- New Variants of SARS-CoV-2 Virus Evade Immunity and Spread Rapidly
- Remote Work Will Persist
- Russia-Ukraine War Stokes Recession Fears
- Communications Revenue Forecast, 2022–2026
- Local Wireline
- PSTN Legacy Circuit Switch Decline
- VoIP, Cable Telephony, and SIP Trunk
- SIP Trunk and UCCaaS
- Long Distance
- Toll-Free Long Distance Spurred by COVID-19 Pandemic
- Data
- Internet
- Wireless
- Wireless Service Revenue Hit by COVID-19 Restrictions
- Video
- Customer Segment Forecast: Enterprise Gap Widens
- Consumer (Home) Segment
- Wholesale
- Enterprise Market
- Industry Verticals Forecast
- Regional Forecast
- Market Context
- Drivers and Inhibitors
- Wireline Voice Service
- Drivers
- Increased Toll-Free Long Distance Use and Conferencing
- Inhibitors
- Demographics and Mobile Workforce
- Mobile Substitution
- SIP Trunks
- Internet and Video
- Drivers
- Fibre-Optic Rollouts Accelerate
- Gigabit Internet and Increasing Data Needs
- National Broadband Strategy
- Inhibitors
- Wireless Internet Substitution and 5G Wireless
- Over-the-Top Video
- Wireless Service
- Drivers
- Substitution Gains Traction
- Next-Generation 5G Wireless Broadband and Enterprise DX
- Inhibitors
- Wireless Voice Declines Continue to Pressure ARPU
- 5G Wireless Spectrum Allocation Lags
- Unlimited (Infinite) Wireless Bandwidth Data Plans
- Data (WAN) Services
- Drivers
- Fibre-Optic Wavelength Network Proliferation
- Enterprise Over the Top: Multi-Access Edge Computing Links Wireless, Cloud Compute, and Artificial Intelligence
- Inhibitors
- SD-WAN Potential Cannibalization of MPLS IP VPN Revenue
- Interoperability
- Significant Market Developments
- Changes from Prior Forecast
- Market Definition
- Communications Taxonomy and Service Definitions
- Local TDM and Wireline
- VoIP, Cable Telephony, and SIP Trunk
- SIP Trunk
- Long Distance
- Wireless
- Wireless Subscriptions and Subscribers
- Wireless Data Segmentation
- Wireless Wholesale
- Internet
- Data
- Video Services
- Industry Sector Definitions
- Financial Services
- Manufacturing
- Retail/Wholesale
- Public Sector
- Utilities
- Communications and Media
- Services
- Other Industries
- Consumer
- Telecommunications Wholesale
- Company Size Definitions
- Region Definitions
- Glossary
- Methodology
- SIP Trunk Forecast
- Note on SIP Terms
- Difficulty Reconciling Forecasts with CRTC Market Data
- Related Research
- Further Research
Pricing
Currency Rates
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