Global Quick Commerce Market to Reach US$352.8 Billion by 2030
The global market for Quick Commerce estimated at US$111.0 Billion in the year 2024, is expected to reach US$352.8 Billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 21.3% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Food & Groceries, one of the segments analyzed in the report, is expected to record a 18.8% CAGR and reach US$93.6 Billion by the end of the analysis period. Growth in the Stationary segment is estimated at 23.4% CAGR over the analysis period.
The U.S. Market is Estimated at US$29.2 Billion While China is Forecast to Grow at 20.3% CAGR
The Quick Commerce market in the U.S. is estimated at US$29.2 Billion in the year 2024. China, the world`s second largest economy, is forecast to reach a projected market size of US$54.4 Billion by the year 2030 trailing a CAGR of 20.3% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Among the other noteworthy geographic markets are Japan and Canada, each forecast to grow at a CAGR of 19.1% and 18.5% respectively over the analysis period. Within Europe, Germany is forecast to grow at approximately 14.9% CAGR.
Quick commerce (Q-commerce) has revolutionized the e-commerce landscape by offering ultra-fast delivery services, catering to the rising consumer demand for instant gratification. Unlike traditional e-commerce models that take days to fulfill orders, Q-commerce focuses on delivering groceries, essentials, and small consumer goods within minutes to a few hours. This rapid delivery model is driven by dark stores, micro-fulfillment centers, and hyperlocal logistics networks that enable seamless inventory management and last-mile distribution. The growing consumer preference for convenience, particularly among urban dwellers and millennials, has fueled the expansion of Q-commerce platforms. Additionally, the COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the adoption of Q-commerce, as consumers sought contactless, same-day delivery services for groceries, pharmaceuticals, and household essentials. As competition intensifies, retailers and logistics providers are investing in AI-driven demand forecasting, route optimization, and automated warehousing to enhance the speed and efficiency of quick commerce operations.
Advanced technologies such as AI, big data analytics, and robotic automation have played a crucial role in optimizing Q-commerce operations. AI-powered algorithms analyze customer purchasing behavior and predict demand fluctuations, ensuring optimal inventory stocking in dark stores and micro-fulfillment centers. Real-time tracking and route optimization software improve delivery efficiency by identifying the fastest and least congested delivery routes. The integration of drone and autonomous vehicle delivery systems is also being explored to further reduce delivery times and logistics costs. Additionally, machine learning models are enhancing supply chain visibility, helping Q-commerce platforms reduce operational waste and maximize resource utilization. As urbanization continues and consumer expectations for instant delivery increase, technology-driven innovations will remain a key enabler of Q-commerce expansion.
The Q-commerce industry is being shaped by evolving consumer expectations, changing shopping habits, and the expansion of on-demand service ecosystems. The rise of mobile-first shopping behavior, fueled by smartphone penetration and digital payment adoption, has accelerated Q-commerce growth across emerging and developed markets. The integration of personalized recommendations and AI-powered product discovery tools is enhancing customer engagement, driving higher order frequencies and basket sizes. Strategic partnerships between retailers, last-mile delivery providers, and technology firms are fostering rapid expansion, enabling businesses to offer faster delivery times and broader product selections. Sustainability concerns are also influencing Q-commerce operations, prompting companies to invest in electric vehicle fleets, eco-friendly packaging, and carbon-neutral logistics solutions. As Q-commerce continues to reshape the retail landscape, businesses are adapting their supply chain strategies to meet the growing demand for instant and hassle-free delivery services.
The growth in the global quick commerce market is driven by several factors, including increasing urbanization, rising consumer demand for instant delivery services, and advancements in logistics automation. The rapid proliferation of dark stores and micro-fulfillment centers has enabled Q-commerce platforms to reduce fulfillment times and improve delivery accuracy. The expansion of digital payment solutions and mobile wallets has further facilitated frictionless transactions, enhancing the overall customer experience. The increasing investment in AI-driven logistics optimization and predictive analytics is improving order accuracy and reducing operational inefficiencies. Additionally, the rise of direct-to-consumer (DTC) brands and digital-first retailers is expanding Q-commerce beyond groceries, into categories such as fashion, electronics, and beauty products. As consumer expectations for speed and convenience continue to evolve, the Q-commerce market is poised for significant growth, with companies racing to refine their fulfillment models and enhance service reliability.
SCOPE OF STUDY:TARIFF IMPACT FACTOR
Our new release incorporates impact of tariffs on geographical markets as we predict a shift in competitiveness of companies based on HQ country, manufacturing base, exports and imports (finished goods and OEM). This intricate and multifaceted market reality will impact competitors by artificially increasing the COGS, reducing profitability, reconfiguring supply chains, amongst other micro and macro market dynamics.
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We expect this chaos to play out over the next 2-3 months and a new world order is established with more clarity. We are tracking these developments on a real time basis.
As we release this report, U.S. Trade Representatives are pushing their counterparts in 183 countries for an early closure to bilateral tariff negotiations. Most of the major trading partners also have initiated trade agreements with other key trading nations, outside of those in the works with the United States. We are tracking such secondary fallouts as supply chains shift.
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APRIL 2025: NEGOTIATION PHASE
Our April release addresses the impact of tariffs on the overall global market and presents market adjustments by geography. Our trajectories are based on historic data and evolving market impacting factors.
JULY 2025 FINAL TARIFF RESET
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