Global Direct Air Capture Market to Reach US$1.5 Billion by 2030
The global market for Direct Air Capture estimated at US$107.7 Million in the year 2024, is expected to reach US$1.5 Billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 55.5% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Solid-DAC Technology, one of the segments analyzed in the report, is expected to record a 52.3% CAGR and reach US$866.4 Million by the end of the analysis period. Growth in the Liquid-DAC Technology segment is estimated at 58.8% CAGR over the analysis period.
The U.S. Market is Estimated at US$28.3 Million While China is Forecast to Grow at 52.7% CAGR
The Direct Air Capture market in the U.S. is estimated at US$28.3 Million in the year 2024. China, the world`s second largest economy, is forecast to reach a projected market size of US$221.0 Million by the year 2030 trailing a CAGR of 52.7% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Among the other noteworthy geographic markets are Japan and Canada, each forecast to grow at a CAGR of 49.9% and 48.2% respectively over the analysis period. Within Europe, Germany is forecast to grow at approximately 38.4% CAGR.
As the world grapples with rising carbon emissions and climate change, Direct Air Capture (DAC) technology is emerging as a critical solution for carbon removal. Unlike conventional carbon capture methods that target industrial emissions at the source, DAC directly extracts CO2 from ambient air, allowing for negative emissions and atmospheric carbon reduction. The technology uses chemical sorbents, filters, or solid adsorption techniques to separate CO2, which can then be stored underground or repurposed for synthetic fuels, carbon-based products, and enhanced oil recovery (EOR). Governments and private entities are increasingly investing in DAC due to its potential to meet net-zero emission goals. However, challenges such as high energy consumption, infrastructure costs, and scalability remain key hurdles to widespread adoption. Despite these obstacles, advancements in materials science, renewable energy integration, and carbon utilization markets are accelerating DAC deployment, positioning it as a viable tool for climate mitigation.
The high operational costs and energy-intensive nature of Direct Air Capture technology have been major barriers to its commercial scalability. DAC requires significant energy input to separate CO2 from the air, primarily due to the low atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide (around 0.04%). The reliance on renewable energy sources such as solar, wind, or geothermal to power DAC facilities is essential to maintaining net-negative emissions, but securing sustainable power supply remains a challenge. Additionally, the cost per ton of CO2 removal remains high, with estimates ranging between $100 and $600 per ton. However, continuous research into advanced sorbents, modular reactor designs, and heat integration techniques is driving cost reductions. Government subsidies, carbon pricing mechanisms, and private investments are also playing a crucial role in making DAC more financially feasible. As technological breakthroughs improve energy efficiency and lower costs, DAC is expected to transition from a niche innovation to a mainstream climate solution.
The role of policy frameworks and corporate sustainability commitments is becoming increasingly important in accelerating DAC adoption. Governments worldwide are implementing carbon credit programs, tax incentives, and emissions reduction mandates that support DAC development. The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act, for example, offers financial incentives for carbon removal projects, encouraging private sector investments in DAC facilities. Large corporations, including tech giants and oil companies, are also pledging to offset their carbon footprints through DAC-based carbon removal initiatives. These efforts align with global net-zero commitments and sustainability goals, increasing demand for scalable DAC solutions. However, regulatory uncertainties, long-term infrastructure investments, and the need for standardized carbon accounting frameworks remain challenges for widespread deployment. Despite these complexities, corporate sustainability pledges and government-backed carbon markets are expected to drive significant growth in DAC installations worldwide.
The growth in the Direct Air Capture market is driven by several factors, including the increasing urgency of climate change mitigation, advancements in CO2 capture efficiency, and rising investments in carbon removal technologies. The expansion of voluntary and compliance-based carbon markets is creating new revenue streams for DAC developers, encouraging commercial-scale deployment. Government policies, including carbon pricing mechanisms and tax credits, are further incentivizing large-scale adoption. Additionally, the integration of DAC with emerging carbon utilization markets, such as synthetic fuel production and sustainable building materials, is enhancing economic viability. The growing demand for net-negative emission solutions from corporations, investors, and environmental organizations is fueling market expansion. Despite challenges such as high energy requirements and infrastructure costs, continuous research, policy support, and innovation are expected to make DAC a key player in global decarbonization strategies.
SCOPE OF STUDY:TARIFF IMPACT FACTOR
Our new release incorporates impact of tariffs on geographical markets as we predict a shift in competitiveness of companies based on HQ country, manufacturing base, exports and imports (finished goods and OEM). This intricate and multifaceted market reality will impact competitors by artificially increasing the COGS, reducing profitability, reconfiguring supply chains, amongst other micro and macro market dynamics.
We are diligently following expert opinions of leading Chief Economists (14,949), Think Tanks (62), Trade & Industry bodies (171) worldwide, as they assess impact and address new market realities for their ecosystems. Experts and economists from every major country are tracked for their opinions on tariffs and how they will impact their countries.
We expect this chaos to play out over the next 2-3 months and a new world order is established with more clarity. We are tracking these developments on a real time basis.
As we release this report, U.S. Trade Representatives are pushing their counterparts in 183 countries for an early closure to bilateral tariff negotiations. Most of the major trading partners also have initiated trade agreements with other key trading nations, outside of those in the works with the United States. We are tracking such secondary fallouts as supply chains shift.
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APRIL 2025: NEGOTIATION PHASE
Our April release addresses the impact of tariffs on the overall global market and presents market adjustments by geography. Our trajectories are based on historic data and evolving market impacting factors.
JULY 2025 FINAL TARIFF RESET
Complimentary Update: Our clients will also receive a complimentary update in July after a final reset is announced between nations. The final updated version incorporates clearly defined Tariff Impact Analyses.
Reciprocal and Bilateral Trade & Tariff Impact Analyses:
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JAPAN
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176 OTHER COUNTRIES.
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